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FIG 1

Emerging Work Challenges for Working Women in the Digital Era: An Examination of Work Connectivity Behavior After-Hour

DOI: 10.31038/AWHC.2024713

Abstract

In the context of hyperconnected work environments, fueled by advancements in information and communication technologies (ICT), this research proposal underscores the significance of examining women’s work connectivity behaviors outside regular working hours. It posits that although the “hyperconnected” work pattern affects all employees, women encounter unique challenges owing to their family obligations. The proposal puts forth several research inquiries, probing the relationship between technological progress, career advancement, physical and mental well-being, work-family balance, specific industry patterns and women’s after-hours work connectivity. This investigation aspires to offer insights into workplace gender disparities, ultimately fostering equality and diversity.

Keywords

Working woman, Hyperconnected work pattern, Career advancement, Physical and psychological well-being, Work-family balance

Our recent study, titled “Navigating work-family conflict, entrepreneurial passion, and entrepreneurial exit intention during the COVID-19 pandemic in Shanghai,”offers a new viewpoint on the interplay between role conflict, work psychology, and the work effectiveness of entrepreneurs within the pandemic setting. Drawing upon the Conservation of Resources (COR) theory, our investigation explores entrepreneurs’ work-family conflict, entrepreneurial passion, entrepreneurial exit intention, and external relationship embedding within the context of the pandemic, considering both resource loss and replenishment perspectives. Our findings illuminate how these elements mutually influence each other and significantly impact entrepreneurs’ attitudes towards entrepreneurship and the overall performance of their organizations. This research not only lends new theoretical support to entrepreneurial management but also offers valuable insights and recommendations for entrepreneurial practice. In today’s fast-paced and high-pressure work environments, achieving a work-life balance, enhancing work efficiency, and boosting employee satisfaction have emerged as critical challenges for organizations. Through rigorous scientific analysis, our study provides compelling answers to address these challenges [1].

In our studied group of entrepreneurs, there exists a certain imbalance in the gender ratio between men and women. The deliberation on the effects of gender disparities on work-family conflict, emotional exhaustion, and work engagement remains marginally inadequate. In contemporary society, women’s significance in the workplace is escalating, and the obstacles and opportunities they encounter are progressively more evident. Hence, deeper exploration into the novel work stresses and obstacles confronted by working women within the modern digital work environment will facilitate a more comprehensive comprehension of workplace dynamics, ultimately fostering gender equality and female empowerment. Consequently, we propose that future investigations concentrate on women’s work conduct within the realm of digital work, particularly their work connectivity behaviors beyond regular working hours [2].

In the wake of advancing information and communication technology (ICT) and the widespread adoption of electronic communication devices in the workplace, modern organizations have transformed into “hyperconnected” environments. This shift has effectively erased traditional organizational boundaries, significantly altering employees’ conventional working patterns. As a result, employees now routinely use portable communication devices to engage in work activities or maintain continuous contact with work-related individuals anytime and anywhere, even during non-working hours (e.g., before work, lunch breaks, and after-work hours). The behavior of maintaining work connectivity after regular work hours, through the use of portable communication devices, has been termed “work connectivity behavior after-hours”. Current research underscores the impact of this “unlimited link” working pattern on various aspects of employees’ lives, including their health, cognition, behavior, and family life often leading to negative consequences. The effect of work connectivity behavior after-hours, as summarized by us based on existing research, is depicted in Figure 1 [3-10].

FIG 1

Figure 1: The effect of work connectivity behavior after-hours

However, the majority of existing research predominantly focuses on the general employee population, neglecting the specific challenges faced by women in the workplace. Women constitute a pivotal force in the progression of contemporary organizations, significantly contributing to enhancing team diversity and fostering innovation. Nonetheless, they often encounter additional pressures stemming from family responsibilities, particularly in maintaining a work-family balance. Certain studies have indicated that, in comparison to their male counterparts, female employees tend to have a weaker sense of boundary between work and personal life, and less awareness of family-work separation. Consequently, work connectivity behavior during non-working hours may exert a profounder influence on women in the workplace, an aspect that has received scant attention in research. Hence, we urge future scholars to devote more consideration to the ramifications of work connectivity behavior during non-working hours specifically for working women. Centering on this theme, we propose the following topics for deeper exploration in future research endeavors [11-14]:

  • How does technological advancement influence women’s work connectivity behavior during non-work hours? With the emergence of remote working capabilities and advancements in mobile communication technology, the work connectivity patterns of women outside their regular work hours have undergone transformation. Further research is warranted to investigate how these novel technologies are reshaping their work habits and the subsequent implications for their professional and personal lives.
  • What are the distinct effects of working women’s work connectivity behavior during non-work hours on their career advancement? This inquiry aims to ascertain whether maintaining work connectivity outside office hours differentially impacts the rate of career progression and job satisfaction for working women compared to their male counterparts.
  • How does engagement in work-related connectivity after work hours impact the physical and mental well-being of working women? Studies could delve into whether the engagement of working women in work-related tasks during non-work hours specifically affects their physical and psychological health. Potential areas of investigation include elevated stress levels, deteriorated sleep quality, and whether these effects are tied to societal expectations and gender roles.
  • How do working women manage the balance between maintaining work connectivity and their family life during off-hours? This line of inquiry centers on the strategies employed by working women to preserve harmony within their family life, specifically their spousal and parental relationships, while simultaneously maintaining necessary work connections.
  • Are there discernible differences in the after-work connectivity behaviors of women across various industries? Comparative research could explore the differences in work connectivity patterns among women in distinct industries such as finance, education, and healthcare, analyzing how industry-specific characteristics and work environments shape these behaviors.
  • Do job connectivity behaviors, characterized by different attributes (e.g., voluntary vs. involuntary), differentially impact working women? This study aims to uncover the potential benefits of workplace connectivity for female employees, particularly exploring whether voluntary engagement in work-related tasks outside work hours positively affects them.
  • What are the roles of varying organizational environments, individual personality traits, work capabilities, and organizational technology in shaping the impact of after-work connectivity on women’s overall work experience? Which elements mitigate the potentially negative effects of work connectivity, and which ones exacerbate them? The objective of this research inquiry is to investigate the moderating factors influencing the effect of work-related connectivity behaviors outside of official working hours specifically on female employees.
  • What effective strategies can female employees adopt to counteract the potential downsides of work connectivity, such as job crafting or seeking out new job resources? By examining coping strategies, we aim to assist female workers in effectively managing the negative impacts of work connectivity behaviors on their work performance, personal life, and overall health.
  • The research proposal into women’s work connectivity behavior beyond regular working hours bears significant theoretical contributions. Such behavior obscures the distinction between professional and personal life. For women in the workforce, striking a harmonious balance between family responsibilities and career aspirations remains a pivotal concern. Examining this behavior sheds light on the evolving nature of work-life balance, bolstering empirical support for associated theories. Furthermore, exploring the work connectivity patterns of employed women during their off-hours can provide organizations with valuable insights for tailored management strategies. Specifically, this analysis aids in determining effective allocation of work tasks, thereby minimizing the necessity for after-hours connectivity. It also suggests ways to furnish supportive resources that empower women in the workplace to manage their work-life boundaries more efficiently. Ultimately, given the heightened challenges and pressures encountered by working women in balancing their family and career, studying their work connectivity practices beyond regular hours aids in uncovering gender disparities in the workplace and advances research promoting gender equality and workplace diversity.

    References

    1. Wang J, Zhao Y (2024) Navigating work-family conflict, entrepreneurial passion, entrepreneurial exit intention amidst the COVID-19 pandemic in Shanghai. Journal of General Management.
    2. Gambles R, Lewis S, Rapoport R (2006) The myth of work-life balance: The challenge of our time for men, women and societies. John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
    3. Cascio WF, Montealegre R (2016) How technology is changing work and organizations. Annual Review of Organizational Psychology and Organizational Behavior 3: 349-375.
    4. Richardson K, Benbunan-Fich R (2011) Examining the antecedents of work connectivity behavior during non-work time. Information and Organization 21: 142-160.
    5. Arlinghaus A, Nachreiner F (2013) When work calls—Associations between being contacted outside of regular working hours for work-related matters and health. Chronobiology International 30(9). [crossref]
    6. Lanaj K, Johnson RE, Barnes CM (2014) Beginning the workday yet already depleted? Consequences of late-night smartphone use and sleep. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 124: 11-23.
    7. Fonner KL, Roloff ME (2012) Testing the connectivity paradox: Linking teleworkers’ communication media use to social presence, stress from interruptions, and organizational identification. Communication Monographs 79: 205-231.
    8. Richardson KM, Thompson CA (2012) High tech tethers and work-family conflict: A conservation of resources approach.
    9. Diaz I, Chiaburu DS, Zimmerman RD, Boswell WR (2012) Communication technology: Pros and cons of constant connection to work. Journal of Vocational Behavior 80: 500-508.
    10. Olson-Buchanan JB, Boswell WR (2006) Blurring boundaries: Correlates of integration and segmentation between work and nonwork. Journal of Vocational Behavior 68: 432-445.
    11. Dobbin F, Kim S, Kalev A (2011) You can’t always get what you need: Organizational determinants of diversity programs. American Sociological Review 76: 386-411.
    12. Mannix E, Neale MA (2005) What differences make a difference? The promise and reality of diverse teams in organizations. Psychological Science in the Public Interest 6: 31-55.
    13. Gaio Santos G, Cabral-Cardoso C (2008) Work-family culture in academia: A gendered view of work-family conflict and coping strategies. Gender in Management: An International Journal 23: 442-457.
    14. Shockley KM, Shen W, DeNunzio MM, Arvan ML, Knudsen EA (2017) Disentangling the relationship between gender and work-family conflict: An integration of theoretical perspectives using meta-analytic methods. Journal of Applied Psychology 102: 1601. [crossref]

Human Suicide, Management Landscape

DOI: 10.31038/PSYJ.2024633

Abstract

Suicide is still a biologically mystery process with a high rate of human mortality. External and internal stresses may drive human suicide behavior. Clinical suicide prevention and treatment are ever-growing. Bridging the gap between molecular basis and psychiatric intervene has great medical or pharmaceutical importance. Final medical success (molecular targeting and curative therapies) in the clinic will ensure high-quality pharmaceutical utility in the clinic.

Keywords

Human suicide, Neurobiology, Modern technology, Suicide prediction

Introduction

Global suicide death is huge (outnumber the death of war and homicide) [1]. Approximately 2% of human mortality is accounted among all episodes of suicide behaviors [2]. However, the incidence of suicide-induced death (SID) is not average distributed. These kinds of epidemic information and stress should be analyzed. General picture of biomedical study of suicide pathogenesis and intervention is depicted in early [3-8]. It contains different strategies and methods. Guideline for new diagnosis, technology and therapeutic selection can be updated.

Medical Causalities

Early clinical evidence suggests that external and internal risk factors or stresses may drive human neuropsychiatric consequences and suicide behavior. However, an accumulated data suggests that human suicide behavior is not an absolutely impulsive act or behaviors. It is possibly a disease-related. After two decades of hard work, association began to emerge between suicide behaviors and different types of human mental diseases [9-13]. To attain a goal of high-quality suicide management, external stresses, pathogenesis cascade and therapeutic targets should be targeted.

Patho-therapeutic Mechanisms

Currently suicide ideation is a common feature of all human population. As a result, this public health burden needs to be overcome as early as possible. Since human mental health problems show many identical signs in suicide patients, molecular mechanisms between different psychiatric diseases and suicide ideations should be promoted [14-18].

Different types of management strategies in the clinic are listed as:

  • Education for students, teachers or clinicians [19]
  • Stress response mechanisms
  • Diathesis and prevention
  • Cognitive-behavioral therapy (CBT)
  • Restriction for lethal means
  • Anti-psychiatric agents
  • Drug treatments
  • Traditional medicine (herbs) [20]
  • Treatment of co-morbid [21]
  • High-quality nursery [22,23]

Currently, the widest used drugs for suicide are ketamine, lithium and clozapine [14]. The effect of ketamine is acute and short. It commonly treats patients in suicide ideation. Its treatment is commonly through injections and responses are quick. Since most psychiatric diseases are chronic diseases, curable therapeutics against mental disorders is still a medical dream. It also affects the high-quality of suicide prediction and prevention [24-30].

Future Direction

According to law of traditional Chine medicine (TCM), human illness is caused by emotional instability and angry. The hidden molecular aberrant in human is not enough to create a disease or suicide behaviors. In context of Chinese medical book, there are recorded of “disease is caused by psychiatric health problems”, “angry will be a major risk factor for different disease emerge”, “angry” is the main source of most diseases. Comedy, music or sports may alleviate suicide behaviors in the clinic.

References

  1. World Health Organization: World Health Statistics 2019: Monitoring Health for the SDGs. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2019.
  2. Bondy B, Buettner A, Zill P (2006) Genetics of suicide. Mol Psychiatry 11: 336-351.
  3. Lu DY (2017) Suicide Risks and Treatments, New Ideas and Future Perspectives. Ed Da-Yong Lu, Nova Science Publishers, 2017, New York, US.
  4. Lu DY, Wu HY, Cao S, Che JY (2021) An overview of suicide study. EC Psychology & Psychiatry 10: 37-43.
  5. Mann JJ, Michel CA, Auerbach RP (2021) Improving suicide prevention through evidence-based strategies: A systematic review. AJP 178: 611-624. [crossref]
  6. Serafini, G, Salano P, Amore M (2015) Suicidal ideation: a comprehensive overview. Suicidal Ideation: Predictors, Prevalence and Prevention. Ed. Bradley Weaver. Nova Science Publishing. 1: 1-42.
  7. Kapur N, Gask L (2009) Introduction to suicide and self-harm. Psychiatry 8: 233-236.
  8. Lu DY, Zhu PP, Lu TR, Che JY (2016) The suicidal risks and treatments, seek medications from multi-disciplinary. Nerv. Syst. Agents Med. Chem 16: 231-239. [crossref]
  9. Shandilya S (2018) Suicide and suicide prevention: a historical review. The Research Journal of Social Science 9: 35-40.
  10. Lu DY, Wu HY, Cao S, Che JY (2020) Historical analysis of suicide. J Translational Genetics & Genomics 4: 33.
  11. Lu DY, Zhu PP, Wu HY, Yarla NS, Zhu H, Che JY (2016) Human suicide study, is there an association between suicide and mental illness. Metabolomics 6: 186.
  12. Na EJ, Lee H, Myung W, Fava M, Mischowlon D, et al (2019) Risks of completed suicide of community individuals with ICD-10 disorders across age groups: A nationwide population-based nested case-control study in South Korea. Psychiatry Investig 16: 314-324. [crossref]
  13. Acheampong AK, Aziato L (2018) Suicidal ideations and coping strategies of motors living with physical disabilities: a qualitative exploratory study in Ghana. BMC Psychiatry 18: 360. [crossref]
  14. Mann JJ, Rizk MM (2020) A brain-centric model of suicide behavior. Am J Psychiatry 177: 902-916. [crossref]
  15. Lu DY, Wu HY, Xu B (2021) Pathology study for human suicide. Health and Primary Care 5: 1-4.
  16. Lu DY, Wu HY (2021) Neuropsychiatric approaches for human suicide prediction and management. Int J Neuropsychology and Behavioral Science 2: 87-91.
  17. Lu DY, Wu HY (2021) Neuropsychiatric insights for human suicide. Int J Scientific Res Updates 1: 11-18.
  18. Lu DY, Zhu PP, Wu HY, Yarla NS, Xu B, et al (2018) Human suicide risk and treatment study. Cent Nerv Syst Agents Med Chem 18: 206-212. [crossref]
  19. Rutz W (2001) Preventing suicide and premature death by education and treatment. J Affect Disord.62: 123-129. [crossref]
  20. Kwon CY, Lee B (2023) The effect of herbal medicine on suicidal behavior: a protocol for systematic review and meta-analysis. Healthcare 11: 1387. [crossref]
  21. Salis F, Belfiori M, Bellisai A, Bernardini E, Murtas M, et al (2024) Cognitive impairment in people living with HIV and the impact of mood: results from a cross-sectional study. J Clinical Medicine 13: 1633. [crossref]
  22. Lu DY, Chen YZ, Lu DF, Che JY (2019) Patient’s care and nursery in different diseases. Hospice & Palliative Medicine International Journal 3: 28-30.
  23. Lu DY, Chen YZ, Lu DF, Che JY (2019) Patient’s care and nursery in modern medicine. Nursery Practice and Health Care 1: 101.
  24. Desmyter S, Bijttebier S, Heeringen K.V (2013) The role of neuroimaging in our understanding of the suicidal brain. CNS & Neurological Disorders-Drug Targets 12: 921-929 [crossref]
  25. Yuan Q, Seow E, Ablin E, Chua BY, Ong HL, et al (2018) Direct and moderating effects of personality on stigma towards mental illness. BM Psychiatry 18: 358 [crossref]
  26. Jiang JJ, Yan ZZ, Sheng C, Wang M, Guan QL, et al (2019) A novel detection tool for mild cognitive impairment patients based on eye movement and electroencephalogram. J Alzheimer’s disease 72: 389-399 [crossref]
  27. Kohyama J (2018) Serotonin is a key neurotransmitter in suicide. Encyclopedia of Suicide. Vol 3, Ed. Torres OB 9: 105-114.Nova Science Publishing, US.
  28. Lu DY, Che JY, Wu HY, Lu TR, Putta S (2020) Suicide risks and prevention, neuropathogenic study. EDEWEISS: Psychiatry 4: 124.
  29. Wang LL, Li JM, Liu HL, Wang ZP, Yang L, et al (2021) Influence factors for decision making performance of suicide attempts and suicide ideation: The roles of somatic markers and explicit knowledge. Front Psychology 12: 693879.
  30. Cornelius JR, Walker JD, Klima G, Fisher B (2015) Suicidal symptoms among veterans with chronic PTSD evaluated for treatment at a VA hospital. Suicidal Ideation: Predictors, Prevalence and Prevention. Ed. Bradley Weaver. Nova Science Publishing. US 2: 43-56.
fig 2

Melt Inclusions in an Aplite Vein in Granodiorite of the Lusatian Massif: Extreme Alkali Sulfate Enrichment

DOI: 10.31038/GEMS.2024633

Abstract

Besides a pseudo-secondary solvus curve (water vs. temperature), we show in this contribution an unusual enrichment of sulfate in melt inclusion in quartz from an aplite vein in the Lusatian granodiorite. Sulfate is Lorentzian distributed. Together with the solvus curve and this type of element distribution, we interpret these as a result of the interaction of supercritical fluids coming from mantle deeps with more crustal rocks.

Keywords

Sulfate-rich melt inclusions, Supercritical fluids, Lorentzian sulfate distribution, Raman spectroscopy

Introduction

The analyses of melt inclusions in quartz give necessary hints to the formation of magmatic mineralizations. Information on the temperature and the composition of the melt belong to this data. A significant result is the bulk-water concentration of the melt inclusions. Temperature and water concentrations often form a pseudo-binary solvus curve with a critical point. Such curves clearly show that the melt inclusions conserve a complex history of formation. In addition, some elements show a direct correlation to the solvus. Some elements form a Gaussian or Lorentzian distribution and

demonstrate, together with the occurrence of indicator minerals (diamond and others), their origin from mantle regions [1,2] as supercritical fluid. Some years ago, the first author found quartz crystals in an aplite vein in the granodiorite from Oppach in the Lusatian mountainous country with extreme sulfate-rich melt inclusions. These results are mentioned only in passing because, at that time, a clear interpretation was not possible. Here, we give primary sulfate results.

Sample Material

For the study, we used quartz crystals from a 1 m thick, strongly weathered aplite vein in an abandoned granodiorite quarry on the boundary of village lands between Oppach and Neusalza-Spremberg (Andert, 1936) [3]. The vein has an incline of 85° to north and a strike of 20° east. Figure 1 shows a quartz-dominated vein part with only tiny specularite (hematite) crystal aggregates. The quartz indicates strong corrosion signs.

fig 1

Figure 1: Vein quartz specimen from the aplite vein from Oppach/Lusatia

In the center of the aplite vein, there are miarolitic cavities filled with quartz crystals embedded in black mica-like specularite crystals. Figure 2 shows samples of cleaned water-clear quartz crystal and untreated quartz-specularite samples.

fig 2

Figure 2: Cleaned quartz crystal (a), specularite, and quartz (b and c). The quartz, mostly in (c), shows a brown covering of Fe-hydroxides.

The quartz of the untreated samples generally has a limonite cover. The quartz contains innumerable fluid and melt inclusions, as well as a lot of different mineral inclusions, like graphite, specularite, albite, rubicline, orthoclase, anhydrite, barite, calcite, dolomite, siderite, smithsonite, bastnäsite-(Ce), xenotime-(Y) and deep-blue monazite-(Ce), as well as hingganite-(Y) [Y, Yb, Er)BeSiO4(OH)] [4]. Figure 3 gives details of the specularite-quartz intergrow (quartz – bright, specularite – black). Such types of specularite veins or miarolitic cavities are in the Lusatian mountainous county widespread [5]. Figure 4 shows some mineral inclusion (siderite and specularite (Hem) in a quartz crystal, and Figure 5 is a BSE image of hingganite-(Y) distributed in the quartz (often at or near the surface, however also in the whole volume). Generally, the fluid inclusions are of secondary origin. That fluid inclusion homogenizes at 256 ± 15°C (n=20) into the liquid phase. In this contribution, we concentrate on the melt inclusions in quartz.

fig 3

Figure 3: Quartz-specularite intergrowth

fig 4

Figure 4: Quartz (Qtz) with mineral inclusions: Sd: Siederite, Hem: Specularite

fig 5

Figure 5: REE-rich Be silicate hingganite-(Y) crystals in quartz from the aplite vein from Oppach/Lusatia.

Figure 3 shows the intense intergrowth of light quartz and black specularite. Maybe the primary quartz was replaced partially by the specularite.

Methodology

Microscopy

For the microscopic and Raman spectroscopic studies, we generally used on both sides polished quartz chips about 300 to 500 µm thick. For both transmission and reflection studies, we used the JENALAB pol and the Olympus BX43 microscopes.

Homogenization Measurements: Cold-Seal Pressure Vessel Homogenization Experiments

Generally, the melt inclusions in quartz are in a wholly crystallized state with a more or less large vapor bubble. Therefore, it was necessary to re-homogenize the inclusions to a homogeneous, daughter crystal-free glass for electron microprobe and Raman spectroscopic studies. We used the conventional horizontal cold-seal pressure vessel technique in GeoForschungsZentrum (GFZ) Potsdam (the procedure is described by Thomas et al. 2000) [6,7]. Here, quartz chips came into an open Au capsule (30 mm long, 5 mm diameter). The vessel was pressurized with CO2 to 1, 2, or 3 kbar, and the sample was moved into the preheated furnace (500, 550, 600, 650, and 700°C respectively). The run time was generally 20 hours. After the experiments, the Au capsule was removed from the furnace and quenched isobarically with compressed air. After quenching, the samples were re-polished and mounted on glass disks to determine the water content of the glass by confocal micro-Raman spectroscopy. It is essential here that by the technique used and the high water content, the primary homogeneous water-rich glass is not stable and disintegrates into a homogeneous water-bearing glass (readily determinable with the Raman spectroscopy [8,9]. The free water phase in the inclusion is determined volumetrically. For this, we used generally well-formed melt inclusions – see Figure 6. The experimental run number could minimized in that way, that in each gold capsule, came up to 10 different samples, which are easily distinguished (thickness, one-sided or on both sides polished chips, or by a specific form). It is also crucial that in the experiments performed at higher temperatures, all inclusions trapped during crystal growth at lower temperatures are also homogenized and can used by interpolation. For special studies, the hydrothermal rapid-quench homogenization experiments with a significantly faster quenching rate showed [6,7,10,13] that by this technique, the whole volume of the inclusion shows under the microscope a homogeneous, however, metastable glass.

fig 6

Figure 6: Typical re-homogenized, near-critical (700°C, 3 kb, 20 hours) melt inclusion in quartz from Oppach/Lusatia. Fl – fluid phase, containing high concentrations of sulfate, G – silicate glass, V – vapor phase.

Raman Spectroscopy

For the Raman spectroscopy performed at the GFZ Potsdam, we used a Jobin-Yvon LabRam HR800 spectrometer (grating: 2400 gr/mm) equipped with an Olympus optical microscope and a long-working-distance LMPlanFl 100x/0.80 objective. Generally, we used a 488 nm excitation of a Coherent Ar+ laser Model Innova 70C, a power of 45 mW on the sample, at a resolution ≤ 0.6 cm-1. Each unpolarized spectrum represents an accumulation of six acquisitions of 20 seconds each. We collected the Raman spectra at a constant laboratory temperature of 20°C with a Peltier-cooled CCD detector [10].

Sulfate Determination

From fluid inclusion studies, we know that some inclusion solutions contain high concentrations of SO42-, as indicated by Raman spectroscopy and the strong band at 983 cm-1. The fluid phase of the re-homogenized melt inclusions generally shows a high to very high Raman band for sulfate, too. An assignment to cations is not possible in a simple way. Therefore, we have concentrated on the determination or estimation of the sulfate concentration. In 2012, Thomas and Davidson [9] constructed a calibration curve (unpublished) for the sulfate determination shown in Figure 7.

fig 7

Figure 7: Calibration curve for the determination of sulfate in the liquid phase of the re-homogenized melt inclusion. ISO4 is the intensity of the sulfate Raman band at about 983 cm-1. I3300 and I3410 are the intensities of both sub-Gaussian bands for water (OH stretching bands of water) in the range of 2800 to 3800 cm-1.

Zhu et al. [13] have, in the meantime, developed and published the method of sulfate determination in detail. They also used the integral intensity of the OH-stretching vibrations as an internal standard (see Figure 6a-c in Thomas and Davidson, 2012) [12]. The analog procedure is applicable to the determination of carbonate and bicarbonate [12], too.

Results

Our study first followed the idea that many inclusions form a solvus curve. Figure 8 shows the resulting pseudo-binary solvus curve in the coordinates water content [H2O (%(g/g))] of the melt inclusions versus the re-homogenization temperatures.

fig 8

Figure 8: Solvus curve for melt inclusions in quartz crystals from Oppach/Lusatia. C.P.: Critical Point. Each point is the mean of up to ten different melt inclusions.

In Thomas and Rericha (2023 and 2024) [1,2], we have discussed forming a pseudo-binary solvus with a critical point (C.P.) combined with extreme element enrichment in the form of Lorentzian distribution of elements (look at Figure 2b in Thomas and Rericha, 2024) [2] is a strong argument for the influence of supercritical fluids coming from mantle deeps to the crustal mineralization. Therefore, we have analyzed the re-homogenized melt inclusions for different elements. To our surprise, the inclusions contain, besides moderate carbonate concentrations (3.5 ± 0.7% CO32-), high concentrations of sulfate (SO42-), which are Lorentzian distributed (Figure 9). Noteworthy is that the fluid phase of the melt inclusion is homogeneous and contains no daughter crystals at room temperature (20°C). That is also true for the second distribution.

fig 9

Figure 9: First Lorentzian curve of the sulfate distribution versus water concentration

The offset (0.45% SO42-) corresponds to twice the Clarke for granitic rocks. 21.3% sulfate at the center (29% H2O) is for an aplitic rock exceptionally high. A further careful study yields a second, more complex Lorentzian curve with significantly lower sulfate concentrations (Figure 10). This curve shows two Lorentzian components, which may have been generated by different species or different amounts of water in the corresponding compound (Table 1).

fig 10

Figure 10: This figure shows the analytical sulfate determination in melt inclusion in quartz from Oppach/Lusatia. Each point is the mean of sulfate of up to ten different inclusions. The bulk curve is composed of two different Lorentzian components.

Table 1: Results of the Lorentzian fit of sulfate vs. water. R2=0.986 (Figure 9)

Peak

Area Center (%H2O) Width (%H2O) Offset (%SO42-)

Height (%SO42-)

Red

260 29.0 7.8 0.45

21.3

Table 2 contains the characteristic data for this Lorentzian curve. Obviously, two different species are forming two distinct curves, which can be traced back to different H2O numbers as the most straightforward explanation.

Table 2: Results of the Lorentzian fit of sulfate vs. water. R2=0.98. The Y offset (SO42-)=0

Peak

Area Center (%H2O) Width (%H2O)

Height (%SO42-)

1 (green)

102.4

28.2 11.2 5.8
2 (blue)  40.9 36.8  8.6

3.0

Discussion

The determined sulfate concentration in melt inclusions in quartz from Oppach is exceptionally high for a magmatic granite-aplite system. Because the water solution contains no daughter phase, the solubility of sulfates must be very high. Alkali, beryllium, and iron sulfates are the first candidates. Naumov et al. (2008) [14] described high sulfate concentrations in melt inclusions in chrome diopside from Yakutia/Russia. The situation there seems different because the sulfate concentration of the melt from which the chrome diopside crystallized is significantly lower than in the case of Oppach. In Thomas et al., 2016 [11] a similar high sulfate concentration in fluid and melt inclusions in the Melaune granite is described. There, in some fluid inclusions, the sulfate concentration is 12.2 ± 1.8 (%(g/g)). In Table 3 are put together the solubility of some sulfates at 20°Cs [15,16].

Table 3: Solubility of some sulfates and the corresponding sulfate concentration in the melt inclusion solution at 20°C

Compound

Solubility at 20°C (%(g/g))

Sulfate concentration (%(g/g))

BeSO4 · 4 H2O

28.0

15.2

CaSO4 · 2 H2O

 0.202

 0.12

FeSO4 · 7 H2O

20.8

 7.19

K2SO4

10.0

 5.51

Na2SO4 · 7 H2O

21.3

 8.12

We see that at the critical point of the first Lorentzian curve, the sulfate concentration (21.3%) is so high that besides FeSO4, a lot of other sulfates must be present in the supercritical solution. The mineral inclusions in quartz demonstrate that the supercritical fluid contains, besides H2O, sulfates, carbonates, phosphates, Na, K, Be, Ca, Fe, REE, and others. The dominance of specularite in this paragenesis shows that the following simplified reaction for Fe is responsible for the change of the supercritical state to the under-critical/hydrothermal state – the change from iron(II)- to iron(III)-sulfate, and crystallization of specularite:

Fe2(SO4)3 + 3 H2O=Fe2O3↓ + 3 H2SO4                                                              (1)

The formal formation of sulphuric acid is responsible for the dissolving of macroscopic carbonates (calcite, siderite) and the strong corrosion of the quartz-albite rock. In Electronic supplementary material by Thomas and Davidson (2017) [16], it is demonstrated that of the high sulfate concentration in the melt-fluid system, the behavior of the REE in comparison to granitic systems is very different.

Acknowledgment

The author thanks Christian Hermann for new samples from the Oppach locality, which initiated the present paper. Furthermore, thanks go to Prof. Pei Ni (Nanjing/China) for recalling the sulfate determination method, which goes back to 2006.

References

  1. Thomas R, Rericha A (2023) The function of supercritical fluids for the solvus formation and enrichment of critical elements. Geol Earth Mar Sci 5: 1-4.
  2. Thomas R, Rericha A (2024) Meaning of supercritical fluids in pegmatite formation and critical-element redistribution. Geol Earth Mar Sci 6: 1-5.
  3. Andert H (1936) Wie entstand die Oppacher Landschaft? Grenzland Oberlausitz. Oberlausitzer Heimatzeitung 17: 91-94.
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FIG 2

Energy Periods of the Earth’s life

DOI: 10.31038/GEMS.2024632

Introduction

Units of measurement and their notation: exa – E: quintrillion 1018; peta – P: quadrillion 1015; tera – T trillion: 1012; giga – G: billion 109; mega – M: million 106; kilo – k: thousand 103.
1 kcal/h = 1.16 W = 4.185 kJ; 1 W = 1 J/s; 1 Wh = 3600 J; 1 kWh = 3.6×106 J or 3.6 MJ; 1 MJ/kg = 1000 kJ/kg; 1MJ = 0.27778 kWh; RQ (respiratory quotient/ratio) = CO2/O2 – when burning carbohydrate: 1; when burning fat: 0.7; when burning protein: 0.8-0.9; when eating a mixed diet: ≈0.83. 1 litre of O2 used by the body, depending on the composition of the food, is 4.5-5 kcal. In our calculations, the m3 weight of each gas was assumed to be 1.98 kg for CO2 and 0.69 kg for natural gas. The amount of CO2 released per kg of fuel was assumed to be 2.3 kg for coal, 3.17 kg for oil and 2.8 kg for natural gas.

Typical Data of the Earth

Surface Area

5.101×108 km² or 5.101×1010 ha; of which Land area: 29.2%, or 1.48949×1010 ha., Forest area: 5.5 billion ha (36.9%) in 1882, which decreased to 4.0 billion ha by 2005. Settlement area: cities occupy at least 2% of the land area. Territorial conditions of other settlements are not known. Waters: 70.8%, or 3.611×1010 ha. Of this, 97-98% is sea and 2-3% freshwater, of which about 10% is surface water, 70% snow and ice and 20% groundwater. The northern hemisphere (2.55×1010 ha) contains about 59.4% of the total land area, which is about 0.884×1010 ha. The southern hemisphere (2.55×1010 ha) covers about 40.6% of the total land area, which is about 0.605×1010 ha. The quantity of gases in the atmosphere (water vapour, CO2, methane, CFCs, N-oxides, sulphur oxides, fluorine derivatives, etc.) varies. Average concentration of CO2 in ppm: in 1750: 250; in 1957: 315; in 1987: 350; in 2015: 403; in 2021: 420.86! Methane concentration in ppb: in 1700: 1,000; in 1986: 1,700; in 2021: 1,875.7!

Mean near-surface temperature: in 1905: 13.6°C; in 1960: 14.6°C; in 2014: ≥14.8°C; in 2023: 14.98°C!
Melting ice: general, but more significant in the northern hemisphere than in the southern!
Note: 1./1. = number of subchapters/index number used in Figure 1.

FIG 1

Figure 1: Changings on the World between 1850-2017

Starting Point

According to the United Nations Organization. “As greenhouse gas emissions blanket the Earth, they trap the sun’s heat. This leads to global warming and climate change. The world is now warming faster than at any point in recorded history.” Our opinion is that the situation is not such simple at all. In addition to the Sun’s and the Earth’s own energy, as well as the greenhouse gases, out of which CO2 and methane have already been present since the early life period of the Earth as then probably a reductive condition was, there are different other factors, too, which will be discussed in the subsections. While the incoming energy of the Sun has presumably not changed significantly, in contrast with this the radiated energy of the Earth has decreased. The role of other factors is illustrated by figures and tables in the text and separately in the Appendix, too. Another question is why the greenhouse gas envelope is an obstacle only for the outgoing and not for the incoming energy. In the following part of this manuscript we shell first show the evolution of the life of the Earth.

The Life of the Earth

Before the appearance of biological life, the fate of our Earth was determined not only from its beginning by its own materials and energy but also by those which came from the outside world – the Sun, the cosmos (hereafter: the Sun), too. This process is still going on today, the first stage of which began with the formation of the globe and which was then characterized by an intensive atomic exothermic process. This was the time when atoms were formed. The energy coming then from the Sun, regardless of whether it was the same as it is now or not, had an unknown effect on the Earth’s own energy and processes. This condition could last until the solidification of the Earth’s surface and the appearance of the atmosphere and water. As to the formation of the atmosphere and water we do not know when and how it happened. The water became from H and O and that process had to be exothermic. The radiation of the earth energy decreased due to the subsidence of the internal processes, and intensive energy eruptions could only occur in the form of volcanic activity. In consequence of the changes, the importance of the energy coming from the Sun grew on and on, which until the appearance of biological life could only exert its effect on the Earth’s surface through physico-chemical means in a form corresponding to the greenhouse gases (CO₂ and methane) envelope of that time. This period was the chemical development, during which the conditions for the appearance of the biological life were created.

Life of a living organisms is a biological phenomenon that did not exist before, which arose 3.75/3.8 billion years after the formation of the Earth, in a supposedly reductive environment, and it is nothing other than a continuous and well-regulated energy (electron/ion) migration of different level and complexity, existing in the living beings (from the primordial microorganism and its descendants till the living individuals of today). These primordial bacteria were, for example, chemolithoautotrophs and anaerobes, using CO₂ and other carbon-containing compounds to form methane, or depending on the species, they oxidized sulphur. The electron donor was H. The metabolism of these microorganisms created a new energetic situation, because the energy received from the donor was incorporated into the compounds they produced. With this, the reduction of the amount of atmospheric CO₂ began and the bioenergy and its storage appeared, as well as the transformation of the environment, and its loading with bio-heat and bio-products started. Meanwhile, the Earth continued to radiate its own energy, which, according to geophysicists, currently originates from the Earth’s inner core, and the Sun’s energy continued to arrive in the form of photons (e=h∙f). It is generally believed that, apart from certain fluctuations, the amount of energy reaching the Earth from the Sun can be considered to be the same.

The next stage was the appearance of photosynthesizing microorganisms and the O₂ produced by them, as well as the plants – although trees appeared only 400 million years ago – and the aerobic metabolism. This state resulted in a decisively new situation, because solar energy, which until the photosynthesis only acted on the Earth’s surface through physical-chemical means, since that point of time it has been utilized by the organisms producing their own organic materials, i.e. by storing energy. The essence of this process can be described with the following equation: 6 H₂O + 6 CO₂ + photon = C₆H₁₂O₆ + 6 O₂ and the resulting 1 mol of sugar contains 2,872 KJ of energy. The remains of the dead organisms of that time are the fossil energy sources of today. In the course of continued evolution, higher-order cold-blooded organisms appeared more than 300 million years ago, and then warm-blooded living creatures appeared 230-170 (233?) million years ago. As a result, the load on the environment also increased due to the metabolic products of large animals, which in the case of warm-blooded animals was further increased by the thermal effect, too. The proliferation of herbivorous animals also created favourable conditions for the growth of carnivores. After a biological evolution of 720-770 million years, the first pair of pre-humans appeared in East Africa about 30 million years ago and from there approx. 50,000 years ago, they began to spread throughout the world and the anthropoid period of our Earth began. Humans can be distinguished from animals by their familiarity with fire and its conscious use, (this means the appearance of a new source of increasingly effective energy and CO₂ as well as ash production), the sexual life independent from the estrus and only for pleasure and its aberrations, the domestication and keeping of animals, the accumulation of wealth, the appearance of demands regarding the way of life, the cultivation of plants and the production of consumer goods, the transformation of the environment, the use of means of transport, the utilization of natural energies – water, wind, sun -, the use of nuclear and H energy representing energy sources of increasing importance, and the ability to read/write. As walking on two legs, conscious activity, denaturing nature, use of simple tools, care of offspring, coexistence, communication and some forms of emotional reactions can already be observed in animals, too! The listed energetic and other characteristics that distinguish humans from animals, as well as the high degree of reproduction, the desire for wealth, power and domination, the endless demands and the lack of recognition that we live in a closed system and our possibilities are limited, and the denaturation of nature, as well as the wars which have occurred during the past 224 years have led to the today’s critical state, some of the characteristic energetic and other changes of which are clearly shown in Figure 1. prepared by us in 2015, and as a continuation of it, Figure 3. with the most recent data prepared by the International Energy Agency.

Results

Hydropower

In 2022, 4,289 TWh of electricity was produced by hydropower in the countries of the world, which is 15% of the total amount of electricity and half of the renewable energy (Figure 2). This capacity represents a depreciation compared to the previous period, which was caused by climate change through the drought. The main producers are China (30%), Brazil (10%), Canada (9.2%), the USA (5.8%) and Russia (4.6%). In terms of environmental pollution, this is a clean energy.

FIG 2

Figure 2: Production of the hydropower-stations between 2000-2020 (Wikipedia)

Forest Area

Based on data from the World Bank, Knoema.com wrote that between 1990 and 2015, 89 countries reported a decrease of their forest area in the last 25 years, 80 countries reported an increase in size of their forests, and 37 countries reported that there was no change. During the mentioned period, the total amount of forests as an extremely important source of energy and raw materials decreased by 1.3 million square kilometres, and the indispensable role of the forests and their bio-systems living there was also lost. The data described here are already included in Figure 1.

Number of People

Since the appearance of man, the number of mankind, even if it has shown significant fluctuations in certain periods, in the end, is constantly increasing. This is confirmed by the following data. 1850: 1.17; 1937: 2.1; 1950: 2.5; 1980: 4.4; 2014: ≈ 7.5 billion. The rate of reproduction shown in Figure 1 is currently accelerating. This can be determined from the following numbers: While on 20 April 2022 the Earth’s inhabitants were 7,944,521,000, on 2 April 2023 there were already 7,993,210,376, i.e. there were 48,686,376 more people. And now, on 27 February 2024, we were 8,093,918,390 because our number increases by one in less than 1 second.

In the beginning, people’s place of residence was less permanent (gathering, fishing, hunting, then grazing period). With the increase in their number and their needs, as well as with the change in their way of life (the spread of farming and domestic animal husbandry), permanent settlements developed and the communal problems related to them appeared. Although cities and even city-states existed in ancient times, urbanization was slow until the period of industrial revolution. The increase in the number of people, the development of agriculture, trade, transport, mining and industry helped the formation of (large) cities. The urbanization process began to accelerate in the 18th century in Europe while on other continents, depending on the circumstances, in the 19th and the 20th century and this process is still taking place today, in many places in an explosion-like form. In 2003, there were 409 cities/agglomerations in the world with more than one million inhabitants. In total, more than 1.15 billion people lived in them, using more than 70% of the world’s resources. Today, more than 50% of our Globe’s inhabitants live in cities, but this proportion varies from country to country. Settlements, especially cities, differ from the natural environment and have a denaturing effect. (With people’s needs, the heat demand, the size and comfort of their homes have also increased compared to those prevalent earlier. The sunlight absorption and heat emission of buildings and roads are different from before. Air pollution, noise and light load have increased. In cities, the so-called “desert climate” prevails). Think about how different the values of individual parameters are over a city with 10 million inhabitants and an area of any natural environment of the same size! It should also be mentioned that currently, the majority of people live in the northern hemisphere of the Earth, which is not surprising for several reasons, but this fact also has its consequences. The rapid increase in the number of mankind is also accompanied by the increasing use of fossil and other energy sources. Without a substantial reduction in the number of mankind and a radical reduction of needs, our situation is hopeless.

Quantity of Coal and Oil Used

As it can be seen on Figure 3 in 2019, after a long increasing the quantity of all fossil energy decreased. In the case of oil, the higher price might also have an influencing effect. The COVID-19 pandemic presumably played a role in the general decline. According to the IEA’s latest report, the amount of oil used was 8.7% more in December 2023 than in December 2022, so growth seems to have started again. They wrote that the demand for coal in 2023 will be greater than earlier with 1,4% and the total quantity will be more than 8,5 billion t-s in the first occasion.

FIG 3

Figure 3: Production and use of different energies on the World between 1990-2020 között (IEA datum)

Nuclear Energy

According to the International Atomic Energy Agency’s annual report published in Vienna, in 2023 there were 438 nuclear power plants operating worldwide with a capacity of 351,327 megawatts, generating 2,447.5 terawatt hours of electricity. In 2019, the amount of electricity produced also decreased. The electricity produced at that time covered 16% of the world’s energy needs. According to the latest IEA report, the amount of electricity produced in December 2023 increased again and was 2.6% more than in December 2022.

The Amount of Extracted Natural Gas

In 2019, the production of natural gas, which had been continuously increasing over the years, also decreased. However, according to the latest IEA report, the amount of gas used in December 2023 was 3.9% more than in December 2022. The reduction in the amount of oil, coal and natural gas used also reduced the amount of CO₂ entering the atmosphere.

Wind Energy

From the beginning of the 2000s, the installation of windpower plants for the utilization of this weather-dependent energy increased dynamically, far exceeding previous expectations, mainly in countries with sea coasts (Table 1).

Table 1: Production of the wind powerstations between 2000 and 2020

Years

Prediction in 2000 Effective production

Difference

2010

85,4 TWh 346,4 TWh*
2020 177,5 TWh 1594 TWh*

Data from 2023 Statistical Review of World Energy

Farm Animals

The number of livestock has increased substantially over the past 100 years, in line with the growth in the number of people and their needs. This is shown by the data in Tables 2 and 3. The increase in the number of animals and changes in husbandry practices have unpleasant consequences (methane, CO2, heat, manure, urine, etc.). According to the latest IEA data, agriculture is responsible.

For about 40% of the methane released into the atmosphere. According to other experts the distribution of sources within agriculture is the following: rice production about 20%, animal husbandry 15-25%, and microbial decomposition of organic matter. According to them, 74% of methane of animal origin comes from cattle, 9% from sheep and 5% from buffalo, and small amounts of the gas are also formed in the rectum of pigs and poultry. These authors do not even mention methane due to the activity of free-living animals and non-animal anaerobic microbes. The IEA estimates that the oil and gas sector contributes about 37% of the methane in the atmosphere, waste contributes about 27% and other sources about 2.8%. They do not mention the release from natural living organisms, or from land and sea due to ice melting (the permafrost phenomenon). If the greenhouse effect of CO2 is 1 unit, that of methane is 21 times greater and that of N-oxides 310 times greater! There is also a view that water vapour has the greatest greenhouse effect. Some of the other consequences of animal husbandry are shown in the Tables in the Appendix. According to IEA experts, methane is responsible for 30% of warming. They also reported that emissions from the oil and gas industry have recently fallen substantially.

Table 2: Number of the different farm animals between 1930-2023

 Time

Animals and their number x 106
  Oxen Horses Pigs Sheep

Hens

1930th

438,9

68,1 193,3 563,0

1999-2000

1351,4 58,2 922,8 1056,1

14860,0

2017

1491,6

60,5 967,3 1202,4 22,8×103

2021-2023

1913,7 1913,8 1266,0

34.4×103

Abreviation: – = datum is unknown

Table 3: Number of different farm animals on various continents

Specification

Animals and their number x 106
  Goats Buffalos Donkeys + Mules Camels

’s species*

Europe

17,9

0,2 0,8

Asia

465,2 160,9 18,8 4,2

Africa

218,6

3,4 15,4 15,1

N., C. and S. America

35,8 1,1 7,8**

5,3***

Oceania

0,7

World total in 1999-2000 and in 2017

738,2 165,6 42,8 19,3

5,3

1034,4

200,9 55,3 34,8

Rövidítés: *Lama, alpaca, vicuna és guanaco together; **Datum only from C.-America; ***Datum only from S. -America; -: datum is not known.

Role and Utilization of Solar Energy

The average temperature of the Earth is now largely determined by the amount of energy from the Sun, which is thought to be constant, the amount of which was considered earlier to be 3.86×1033 erg/s, i.e. 3.86×1023 kW of power. In addition, it is also influenced by the Earth’s own energy and by the effects of the existence of living organisms and the consequences of human activity. Not all of the solar energy emitted reaches the Earth’s surface, because about 30% of the Sun’s energy is reflected from the upper surface of the atmosphere. However, we do not know whether the greenhouse gas envelope has any retention effect and how much, if any. The rest is absorbed by clouds, surface water, ice, snow and land. These represent the Earth’s heat capacity. On the upper surface of the Earth’s atmosphere, in the case of a perpendicular radial position, the energy coming from the Sun represents a power of 1.36 kW/m². The amount of solar energy received and reflected from the Earth’s surface depends on environmental influences. In addition, there is the Earth’s own energy, and the ever-increasing energy generated by the existence and activity of humans or extracted from the Earth by them and emitted by the living organisms. Together, these add up to the total energy under the envelope of greenhouse gases and water vapour. The natural escape of these energies is uniformly retained by the envelope according to the laws of nature, promoting the warming of the Earth’s surface, where ideally the energy input would have resulted in a heat load of 1kW/m², equivalent to 1 kJ/s. This value is the so-called solar constant. We do not know what the solar constant and all the other energy values are today. In 2000, a huge development started in the field of solar energy utilization, because the installation costs of the systems decreased to an unexpected extent and people’s attitudes changed a lot. The annual amount of solar energy collected in the form of electricity between 2012 and 2022 in each year on the world was 104,212; 140,515; 180,712; 228,920; 301,082; 395,947; 489,306; 592,245; 720,429; 861,537 and 1,053,115 MW. It is not known that what is the consequence of the energy captured by the solar collectors on the global temperature?

Occurrence and Role of CO2

As for the CO2 content of the atmosphere, this gas has been present since the early life of the Earth and it is persisting there for a long period of time varying amounts since the beginning (Figure 4). Human life and activity, as well as keeping of livestock and changes in the population of natural living creatures and various geological events, influence the quantity of different gases in the atmosphere. Among these, carbon dioxide, methane, sulphur oxides, water vapour and, more recently, nitrous oxide and fluorine-containing gases have been and are of particular importance because they cause the greenhouse effect and thus accelerate global warming, i.e. climate change. The average concentration of CO2 was in 1750: 250 ppm; in 1957: 315 ppm; in 1987: 350 ppm; in 2015: 403 ppm. On 2 April 2022, atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations reached their highest level measured at present time at the Mauna Loa monitoring station in Hawaii. The concentration there was 420.86 ppm. Over the Northern Hemisphere 500 ppm was already measured before!

FIG 4

Figure 4: Concentration of CO₂ in the atmosphere (Haszpra László)

The annual amount of CO₂ which was emitted by the countries of the world between 2012 and 2022 in million tonnes per year was 32,219.8; 32,676.8; 32,779.0; 32,773.7; 32,818.0; 33,306.2; 34,013.9; 34,044.0; 32,284.9; 34,052.2; 34,374.1. An average person, if not actively exercising, produces approximately 1kg of carbon dioxide per day that means that worldwide more than 8 billion kg-s, plus the CO₂ which has emitted by animals and then we did not mention the other sources. The year 2020 was the only exception when the steadily rising quantity decreased. The reduction then was the result of the decreasing use of fossil fuels in consequence of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Methane concentrations were in 1700: 1,000 ppb; in 1986: 1,700 ppb; in 2021:
1,875.7 ppb! According to IEA data, the amount of methane released into the atmosphere in 2023 was 349, 476 kt-s and therefore its concentration became more than 1,900 ppb which means a slight increase compared to 2022. This gas persists only for some 10 years in the atmosphere. In spite of the fact that the concentrations of CO₂ and methane which are steadily increasing some people expect and hope the stop of climate change.

The Average Temperature of the Earth

The average temperature of the Earth is influenced by several factors in their own way. These are: the Earth’s own energy, solar radiation, greenhouse gases, the production of previously unknown hydro, wind, solar and nuclear energy, heat from burning fossil raw materials, waste and woody plants, heat emitted by humans, warm-blooded animals and micro-organisms, heat from industry, transport, agriculture, architecture, housing, space exploration, heat from wars and because of the new situation related to denaturing of nature, etc (Figure 6)

FIG 6

Figure 6: Changing of the temperature of the Earth during last centuries (Wikipedia)

Note: “O” point is equal with some 13,6°C from 1905. Each line was calculated by different expert.
Since the Earth was born, it has been emitting energy, the value of which has decreased over time and is now estimated by experts at between 43 and 49 TW. Without its own energy, the Earth’s temperature would be below freezing point. Despite the supposed ‘uniformity’ of solar radiation, the average temperature of the Earth has never been the same over longer or shorter time periods – see Figure 5. Ice-ages and warming up periods have alternated each other due to terrestrial – chemical, biological, geological and/or, in the present era, human life and activity – or extraterrestrial (?) influences. For example: from the early 1000s there was a so-called little ice age, which was replaced by a warming period due to the changes brought about by the industrial revolution from 1778 on. There is now ample evidence that air and ocean temperatures are rising, snow and glaciers are melting and the sea level is increasing. Between 1905 and 2005, the temperature rose by 0.74 ± 0.18°C every ten years. In the second half of the period under study, the rate of warming doubled compared to the value observed at the beginning (from 0.07 ± 0.02°C to 0.13 ± 0.03°C, per decade). This phenomenon is the so-called climate change. On 21 November 2023, for a short period of time, the Earth’s temperature was already more than 1,3°C warmer (14.9°C) than the global average temperature before the industrial revolution (13,6°C), which was an unprecedented record, reported by the Europe-based Copernicus Climate Change Service. The Earth’s average temperature has been rising for decades as we are facing a self-generating phenomenon because of snow and ice melting, the rising of surface water temperatures, and as the main causes are not diminishing, either, there is little we can do to stop the process [1-11].

FIG 5

Figure 5: Concentration of methane in the atmosphere (NOAA)

Final Conclusion

We think that a thorough analysis is needed to determine which of the listed factors play a role, and exactly what role, in the climate change process, because in the nature there are no energy changes without effect and causes. So, one of the most important questions is what exactly the role of the greenhouse gas envelope and that of the different factors? In other words, does the current gas envelope affect the amount of solar energy considered to be constant arriving at the Earth’ surface at present compared to its amount which was before the industrial revolution i.e. does the gas envelope have any influence on the incoming energy, or does it just hinder all energies which are present under the envelope in leaving from our environment?. Furthermore, it is a fact that the amount of each of these factors (except the size of forests) are increasing and their energetic and environmental loading importance compared to their 1778 value is steadily growing. Is it conceivable that these changes have no effect? We think the answer is no. Finally, is such view acceptable that the Earth’s own energy within the envelope, together with the solar energy, the biological heat production of the living organisms and the use of non-fossil natural energies by human beings, and the energy release from all combustion processes do not have any effect on the circumstances of our Earth? In our opinion, this is not acceptable, either. If we continue to spend huge amounts of money on goals that are irrelevant to our survival (wars, military investments, unnecessary space exploration, tourism, etc.) instead of stopping climate change and neutralising its consequences, we will miss our chance of survival (Tables 4-6).

Table 4: Data to the circlation of substances and energy on the World

Specification

Years

Mass and average heat value of fuels; Quantity of CO2 liberated from them

1860

1935+37 1958 1980 2000+05 2009+14

2017

Oil × 106t

1

279,5 809,8 3059 3590 4117 4365

40,5 MJ/kg

4,05×1010 1,13×1013 3,27×1013 1,23×1014 1,45×1014

1,66×1014

CO2 m3

3,17×109

8,86×1011 2,56×1012 9,69×1012 1,13×1013 1,3×1013

Coal × 106t

136 1280 1762 2805 5878 7823

7549

20,35 MJ/kg

2,76×1012

2,6×1013 3,58×1013 5,7×1013 1,18×1014 1,59×1014

CO2 m3

3,12×1011 2,92×1012 4,05×1012 6,45×1012 1,37×1013

1,72×1013

Gas × 109m3

71 400 1531 2778 3479 3768

37 MJ/kg

2,62×1012 1,48×1013 5,66×1013 1,02×1014

1,28×1014

CO2 m3

1,37×1011 7,72×1011 2,95×1012 5,36×1012 6,72×1012

All together

MJ/kg

2,8×1012

3,99×1013 8,33×1013 1,8×1014 3,66×1014 4,53×1014

CO2m3

3,15×1011 3,94×1012 7,38×1012 1,9×1013 3,01×1013

3,69×1013

Abbreviation: – = Datum is unknown

Table 5: Living conditions of different farm animals

Specifications

 Species of animals and their number x million
 Oxen  Horse  Pig  Sheep

 Hen

NEEDS

1 anim. 1351,4 1 anim. 58,2 1 anim. 922,8 1 anim. 1056,1 1 anim. 14860,0

 O2

*calf l/day

 

390

5,27×1011

*calf l/year

1,42×105 1,92×1014

CALORIE
kcal (kJ) x kg0,75 daily  Basal metabolism in case of all animal species in general 70 (293)
yearly  2,55×104 (1,07×105)
kJ x kg0,75 daily  Existential metabolism in case of all animal species 475-575 in general 525
yearly  1,91×105
*calf daily kJ

7712,9

1,04×1013

 yearly kJ

2,86×106 3,8×1015

 kg**/kJ daily

600/3,5×104

4,77×1013 500/3,09×104 100/9207 50/5400 2/502

 yearly

 

1,29×107 1,75×1014 1,12×107 3,36×106 1,98×106 1,83×105

 METABOLISM  
kg/W/day

600/411

500/358 100/106 50/62,9 2/5,8

 W/year

 

1,5×105

 

1,30×105

 

 

3,88×104

 

 

2,29×104

 

 

2,11×103

 

* calf W/day

89,16

* calf W/year

3,25×104

WATER (drinking)  
ml/kg

129

78 108 76

kg/l/nap

600/77,4 500/39 100/10,8 50/3,8 0,25***

kg/l/év

2,82×104

1,42×104 3,94×103 1,38×103 73-110

WATER (technological)
l/day

 

15

l/year

5,47×103

Abbreviations: *Experimental datum of one calf of 75 kg body weight; **Effective body weight; ***In case of one animal; 1 anim. = one animal; – = datum is not known

Table 6: Emissions of different species of farm animals

Specifications

 Species of animals and their number x million
 

EMISSIONS

 Oxen  Horse  Pig  Sheep

 Hen

1 anim.

1351,4 1 anim. 58,2 1 anim. 922,8 1. anim.. 1056,1 1 anim.

14860,0

CO2 when O2 demand 390 l
*calf l/day

*calf l/year

 

311

1,13×105

4,2×1011

1.53×1014

 

 

 

 

METHANE
l/day

100-500

1,35-6,75×1011  0,3-1,5 2,7-13,8×108 <50

 

<5,3×1010

 

l/year

3,65-18,2×104 4,94-2466×1011 1,09-5,4×102 1-5×1010 <1,8×104

 

<1,92×1013

 

HEAT when 50%

of metabolism

**kg/ W/day

W/year

600/205,6

7,5×104

2,77×1011

1,01×1014

500/179

6,53×104

?

?

100/53,2 1,94×104 ?

?

50/31,4

1,14×104

?

?

2/2,9

1.05×103

?

?

*calf W/day

44,58

6,02×1010

*calf W/year

1,62×104

 

2,18×1013

WATER
by evaporation g/ 100 kg animal/hour

 240

g/m2/hour

10-200

by perspiration l/hour

some litre

URINE
l/day

10-15

1,35-2,02×1010 4-5 2,3-291×108 2,5-4,5  ? 0,6-1,0  ?  –

l/year

3,6-5,4×103 7,39×1012 ? 7,3×1011  ?  ?  ?  ?

 –

FAECES
kg/day

10-30

1,35-4,05×1010 15-23 ? 0,5-3 1-3 0,1-0,15 1,48-2,22×109

kg/year

3,6-10,9×103 1,47×1013 ? ? ? ? ? ? ?

5,4-8,1×1011

Water content in %

80-85

70-80

 

55-75

 

 

55-75

MANURE

kg/animal/day  Is different dependig on the animal species and the way of breeding
SEWAGE
l/day

30***

 4,05×1010 1,74×109

l/year

 1,09×104 1,47×1013 6,3×1011

Abbreviations: *Experimental datum of one calf of 75 kg body weight; **Effective body weight; ***In general 30 l/day in each single animal (500 kg); – = datum is inknown, ? = datum is not written because of the narrow place.

References

  1. United Nations Organization: definition
  2. European Committee (Directorate-general CLIMA): Climate Action.
  3. Food and Agriculture Organization: data
  4. Haszpra László: A bioszféra szerepe a légkör szén-dioxid tartalmának alakulásában. OTKA t042941 zárójelentés, Országos Meteorológiai Szolgálat, Budapest, 2008. in Hungarian
  5. International Energy Agency: data
  6. Központi Statisztikai Hivatal: data in Hungarian
  7. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (USA): data
  8. Ralovich Béla (2020): The History of the Hungarian Nation in the Light of the Life of our Earth. Püski Publishing Co. Budapest, ISBN 978-963-302-292-4
  9. Ralovich Béla (2023) Universe, Space, Infinity, God and our Earth. SciEnvironm 6: 592-610.
  10. Ralovich Béla (2023) Our Thoughts About Social Gender. SciEnvironm 6: 668-672.
  11. Statistical Review of World Energy: data
fig 4

Comparative Network Pharmacology of Artificial Sweeteners to Understand Its Health Consequences

DOI: 10.31038/IJVB.2024811

Abstract

Background: Artificial sweeteners (ASwt) are widely consumed sugar substitutes, but their long-term health effects remain a subject of debate. While regulatory bodies generally consider them safe at recommended doses, concerns persist regarding potential adverse effects. This study aimed to investigate the interactions between ASwt and biological targets using in silico analysis, focusing on target affinity, selectivity, and tissue expression.

Methods: Five common ASwt – acesulfame K (Ac), aspartame (As), sucralose (Su), steviol (St), and saccharin (Sa) were evaluated. Their target interactions were predicted using a cheminformatics approach, analysing affinity towards functional groups and protein targets. Concentration/affinity (C/A) ratios were calculated to assess the likelihood of target activation at achievable doses. Expression of high-affinity targets with significant C/A ratios in various organs was assessed using the Human Protein Atlas database.

Results: The ASwt displayed potential to modulate most of the functional groups at physiologically feasible affinities. Ac exhibited a broad range of targets, while St showed a preference for kinases and proteases. Notably, As and Su demonstrated interactions with membrane receptors and kinases. C/A ratio analysis revealed potential concerns for As and Su. Several of its targets, including ROCK2, ACE, ITGA2/5, PIM2, KDM5C, PIM1, SLC1A2, SETD2, CAPN1, LTA4H, MKNK2, HDAC1 and CDK, showed high C/A ratios, suggesting possible functional modulation at achievable intake levels. Organ specific expression analysis identified the endocrine, respiratory, renal, reproductive, central nervous, digestive, and musculoskeletal systems as a region particularly susceptible due to the high expression of high affinity targets linked to cell growth, extracellular matrix, epigenetic regulations, and inflammation. Interestingly, 30 tissues expressed high-affinity targets for both As and Su, while 14 tissues exclusively expressed targets for As.

Conclusion: This study highlights the potential for ASwt to interact with various biological targets, particularly As and Su. The high C/A ratios of some As targets and the tissue-specific expression patterns suggest potential safety concerns that require in vivo validation.

Keywords

Artificial sweeteners, Target interaction, In Silico analysis, Tissue specificity, Safety concerns

Introduction

Artificial sweeteners (ASwt) have become ubiquitous in our diet, offering a sugar-free alternative for weight management, diabetes control, and/or simply satisfying calorie conscious sweet tooth [1]. However, their safety and potential health concerns remain a topic of ongoing research. The increased use of ASwt as alternatives to sugar can be attributed to the extensive marketing efforts by manufacturers, and the increased prevalence of metabolic syndrome, diabetes, obesity, as well as other metabolic disorders, wherein ASwt are perceived as safer substitutes [2]. ASwt are also often recommended for individuals who are diabetic, obese/overweight or those who are trying to manage their weight, as they seek healthier alternatives to regular sugar. However, there is little evidence defending this claim that ASwt consumption has a beneficial effect on these patients [3]. Regulatory bodies like the FDA and EFSA have deemed commonly used ASwt as safe for human consumption at recommended intake levels [4]. These levels are established through rigorous evaluations considering factors like metabolism, absorption, and potential toxicity. Despite safety evaluations, several studies suggest potential health risks associated with chronic consumption of ASwt. A WHO systematic review3 revealed that replacement of ASwt with sugar does not provide a means for weight management in the long-term, and several studies have discovered a positive correlation between long term ASwt consumption and risk of developing cardiovascular disease [5,8], type 2 diabetes mellitus [6,8,11], and mortality in adults [6,8,9,12]. Current literature also reveals other concerning associations between ASwt consumption and various routinely observed clinical conditions, including heightened risks of developing cancer [13,15], chronic kidney disease [16,17], adiposity related diseases [8,9,18,19], as well as non-alcoholic fatty liver disease [20]. The adverse effects following chronic intake of ASwt can be consequence to disruptions to insulin signalling and gut microbiota, potentially influencing blood sugar control, impacting digestion, nutrient absorption, overall gut health and increasing the risk of metabolic syndrome [21,22]. Despite these reported clinical associations, there is substantial research gap regarding the pharmacodynamic effects of these sweeteners in homo sapiens, leading to lack of insights into their mechanisms of actions. Although ASwt offer the so-called “sugar-free option”, their long-term health effects require exploration of the pharmacological mechanisms of actions. Hence, research into the pharmacodynamics of ASwt can provide a foundation for establishing a mechanistic basis for highlighting safe consumption practices and mitigating potential health risks associated with their unaccounted consumption, perceiving them to the safe. A literature search revealed that the following were the top 5 most consumed ASwt in sugar-free food and beverages, Acesulfame K (Ac), Aspartame (As), Saccharin (Sa), Steviol (St), and Sucralose (Su), all of which are approved by the US-FDA, EFSA, and various other global food safety organisations for use as sweetening agents [4,23-27]. The current literature gap on the pharmacodynamics properties of these ASwt, led us to plan this study to address the gap using a network pharmacology approach. Which will help us understand the receptor binding profiles of the different ASwt and therefore establish a foundational understanding of how they interact with the human body, potentially uncovering mechanisms behind currently observed health associations. This perspective offers insights into the molecular mechanisms that are underlying currently observed adverse health effects, as well as a possibility to highlight potential health risks associated with the consumption of ASwt.

Materials and Methods

The isomeric SMILES sequence of each sweetener (Ac=“CC1=CC(=O)

[N-]S(=O)(=O)O1”, As=“COC(=O)[C@H](CC1=CC=CC=C1)NC(=O)

[C@H](CC(=O)O)N”, Sa=”C1=CC=C2C(=C1)C(=O)NS2(=O)=O”, St =“C[C@@]12CCC[C@@]([C@H]1CC[C@]34[C@H]2CC[C@](C3)(C(=C)C4)O)(C)C(=O)O”, Su=“C([C@@H]1[C@@H]([C@@H]([C@H]([C@H](O1)O[C@]2

([C@H]([C@@H]([C@H](O2)CCl)O)O)CCl)O)O)Cl)O”) was acquired from the PubChem database, which was then inputted into Swiss Target Prediction software (http: //www.swisstargetprediction.ch/) to predict and identify the targets of each sweetener, specific to homo sapiens. The 2D structure of the ASwt in the output files of Swiss Target Prediction software were used in this study to compare their structures. The commonalty of the targets and target classes between the ASwt were assessed using Venn Diagrams [28]. The Uniprot database (https: //www.uniprot.org/) was used to obtain the protein sequence of each individual target of the ASwt, and Yuel tool (https: //dokhlab.med.psu.edu/cpi/#/YueL) and Autodock Vina 1.2.0 were used to predict the affinity between the sweeteners and each of their potential targets as described before [29,33]. The targets were then classified into various functional groups, to assess the selectivity of each ASwt to any specific functional group(s).The pharmacokinetic properties of the sweeteners were assessed using data reported in current literature. The volume of distribution (Vd) obtained from current literature, and the dosage values (DV) which were obtained by evaluating current average daily intake (ADI) recommendations by the US-FDA, and EFSA, as well as current data regarding their consumption [23-27,34] were trichotomized into low, medium, high ranges. The Vd and DV were used to calculate the effective plasma concentration (µM) achieved at the three different DV for each individual sweetener. The Concentration/Affinity (C/A) ratio was calculated for each of the ASwt target, as a ratio of plasma concentration of the ASwt and its affinity value to its specific target. The C/A values obtained were used to generate a heatmap of each of the ASwt and their targets using the conditional formatting tool in Microsoft Excel software. C/A ratio ≥ 1.9 was used as a threshold to investigate the targets that are most likely to have an acute pharmacodynamic impact. This threshold was considered based on C/A ratio ≥ 1.9 accounting to an ASwt plasma concentration ~ twice the value of its affinity to its target and hence most likely to have a pharmacodynamic effect. Following identification of high affinity targets, the tissue specific expression of high affinity targets (based on C/A ratio ≥ 1.9) was individually assessed using the ProteinAtlas database (https: //www.proteinatlas.org/), and classified protein expression into the following three categories; “Not detected, Low, Medium, High”. If the protein expression was unavailable, the RNA expression was assessed and the following ranges were used; High=70-100% nTPM, Medium=40-69% nTPM, Low=≤ 39% nTPM. If the target’s tissue specific expression was classified as either “Not Detected” or “Low”, they were excluded from our further analysis.

Results

The 2D structures of all the five ASwt are presented in Figure 1. The defined dosage values (DV; mg/day) were calculated to be as follows in the order of low, medium, and high; [Ac (450, 900, 2000), As (1000, 2500, 5000), Sa (150, 300, 600), St (100, 240, 500), Su (150, 300, 600)] (Figure 1). The following Vd (L) values of each sweetener was estimated using data reported in literature; Ac (110), As (109), Sa (264), St (100), Su (100), and was used to predict the effective plasma concentration (mg/L) achievable in humans at each DV and were calculated to be as follows in the order of low, medium and high; [Ac (4.09, 8.18, 18.18), As (9.17, 22.94, 45.87), Sa (0.57, 1.14, 2.27), St (1, 2.4, 5), Su (1.5, 3, 6)] (Figure 1). These values were then converted into µM by using the molecular weight (Daltons) of each sweetener; Ac (163.15), As (294.31), Sa (183.19), St (318.4), Su (397.63), and were calculated to be as follows in the order low, medium and high; [Ac (25.1, 50.2, 111.54), As (31.21, 78.01, 156.03), Sa (3.1, 6.21, 12.42), St (3.14, 7.55, 15.72), Su (3.77, 7.54, 15.08)].

fig 1

Figure 1: Pharmacological Properties of the different artificial sweeteners (ASwt). Chemical Structures of the different Artificial Sweeteners (ASwt). The middle graphs show the trichotomized (low, medium, high) data of ASwt doses (mg/day) and predicted plasma concentration (µM), in humans. The bottom graph shows the molecular weight (Daltons), and the volume of distribution (L), of each ASwt.

Collectively the ASwt were observed to target 23 different functional groups. To evaluate if the sweeteners had any selectivity to specific functional groups, the mean affinity of each sweetener to their respective functional groups were assessed (Figure 2). Most of the functional groups were targeted by ASwt at physiologically feasible affinities (<1000 µM). The highest affinity of Ac was discovered to be towards erasers and enzymes, whilst the least affinity was towards proteases and lyases. As had the greatest affinity towards electrochemical transporters, oxidoreductases, writers, and erasers whilst the least affinity was discovered to be towards surface antigens, proteases, and enzymes. Sa showed selectivity towards transporters, kinases, cytosolic proteins, and ion channels whilst they showed the least affinity towards lyases, nuclear receptors, and family A G-Protein Coupled Receptors (GPCR). St had the greatest affinity towards kinases, proteases, secreted proteins, oxidoreductases, and membrane receptors, whilst it was revealed that they showed the least affinity towards fatty acid binding proteins, cytosolic proteins, and phosphatases. The highest affinity of Su was revealed to be towards membrane receptors, kinases, family A GPCR, erasers, hydrolases, and phosphatases, whilst they showed the least affinity towards secreted proteins, transferases, and ion channels.

fig 2

Figure 2: Affinity of artificial sweeteners (ASwt) to functional groups. The graph shows the affinity (µM, mean ± SD) of all 5 ASwt to various functional groups; Steviol = □,
Sucralose = △, Saccharin = ◇, Aspartame = ▽, Acesulfame K = ◯. The 1st Venn Diagram is comparison of the different ASwt targeting their different functional groups, and the 2nd Venn Diagram is comparing the different ASwt and their predicted targets.

Venn Diagrams [28] were used to examine if different ASwt shared common functional groups as their targets (Figure 2). Enzymes, and proteases were common targets of all 5 ASwt. Ac, Sa, St and Su had cytosolic proteins as their common targets. As, Sa, St and Su shared Family A GPCR, and kinases as common targets. Membrane receptors were common targets among Ac, As, St and Su. Oxidoreductases were common targets of As, St, Su, while erasers were common targets of Ac, As and Su. Lyases were common targets of Ac, Sa and Su. Ion channels were common targets of Sa, St and Su. Nuclear receptors were common targets of Sa and St. Phosphatases, and secreted proteins were common targets of St and Su. Hydrolases were common targets of Ac and Su. The exclusive functional groups of As were electrochemical transporters, surface antigens, and writers. Sa had one exclusive functional group i.e., transporters. St had following three exclusive functional groups i.e., cytochrome P450, fatty acid binding protein family, and isomerases. The exclusive functional group of Su was transferase. Except for Ac, all other ASwt exclusively targeted 1-3 different functional groups.

The network analysis identified potential targets of all the different ASwt i.e., Ac (43), As (109), Sa (106), St (109), Su (111). Venn Diagrams were again used to examine if different ASwt shared their targets (Figure 2). Notably, 8 targets were shared by As, Sa, St and Su, i.e., PSENEN, PTGS2, ACE, PSEN1, PSEN2, APH1B, NCTSN, APH1A. Ac, Sa, St and Su shared 1 target; MCL1, whilst Sa, St and Su shared PTGES. Ac, Sa and Su shared CA9, CA2, and ELANE. Ac, St and Su shared GSK3B. Ac, Sa and St shared CES2, and BCHE. Ac, As and Sa shared MMP2, whilst Ac, As and Su shared CASP3. As, Sa and St shared NOS2, OPRD1 and OPRM1, whilst As, Sa and Su shared PIM1 and F2. As, Su and St shared EDNRA, and Sa, St and Su shared PTGES. Ac and Su shared IDO1, TYMP, CDC25B, TYMS, CASP6, and CASP7, whilst Ac and St shared SIGMAR1. Ac and Sa shared STAT3, CES1, AOC3, CA12, and CA1 whilst Ac and As shared NAAA, KDM5C, KDM5B, KDM4A, KDM4C and KDM4B. As and Sa shared HDAC1 and OPRK1. As and Su shared KDM5A, CDK2, CSNK2A1, ITGAL, ITGB2, ICAM1, and DPP4. As and St shared AURKA, ITGA4, ITGB1, HMGCR, MME, BACE1, CPA1. Sa and St shared HSD11B2, HSD11B1, HTR2A, PTGER2, DRD5, AGTR1, PTGDR2, BCL2, PPARG, NR1H3, RORC, and F10. Sa and Su shared HSP90AA1, GBA, AKR1C3, FBP1, AKR1B1, P4HTM, MMP1, MMP3 and MMP9, whilst Su and St shared ADORA3, P2RX3, CDC25A, PTPN2, and PTPN1. The exclusive targets of Ac were CYP2A6, PADI2, PADI1, PADI3, PARP1, PADI4, DPYD, XDH, KAT2B, SIRT2, SIRT3, GDA, ACHE, TLR9, CASP9 and CASP4. The exclusive targets of As were SLC1A2, SLC5A1, SLC1A3, SLC15A1, SLC6A3, PAM FNTA, TDP1, NOS3, BIRC3, BIRC2, YARS, FNTB, CBX4, PPIA, HDAC8, NTSR1, TACR2, GHSR, TACR1, AGTR2, OXTR, TACR3, S1PR5, GALR1, FPR1, CALCRL, ROCK2,, PIM2, MKNK2, ILK, EPHA2, MAPKAPK2, ITGA5, ITGA2, ITGA2B, ITGAV, IL2RA, ITGB3, RXRA, XIAP, PDYN, IL1B, TUBB1, RRM1, CAPN1, LTA4H, RNPEP, DPP8, REN, BACE2, CASP1, PGC, CTSE, ANPEP, CTSD, LAP3, CELA1, CPB1, TPSAB1, KLK5, CTRB1, CTRC, CBX7, HLA-A, HLA-DRB3, HLA-DRB1, SETD2, PRMT1, CARM1 and SETD7. The exclusive targets of Sa were discovered to be SOAT1, DAGLA, PTPRC, NAMPT, HSD17B2, HSD17B1, AKR1C1, SERPINE1, ADRA1A, UTS2R, HTR2C, ADRA1D, CCR8, ADRA1B, CNR1, LPAR2, GPR55, CHRM1, CNR2,, CHRM3, HTR1B, HRH3, HTR1A, DRD3, DRD4, DRD2, GRIN2B, GRIN1, BCL2L1, SCN9A, TRPV4, KCNA5, TRPA1, KCNH2, ABL1, LIMK1, ERBB2, IKBKB, LIMK2, CA5A, CA13, CA5B, CA4, CA6, CA14, CA7, NR3C2, NR1H2, BMP1, MMP8, ADAMTS4, MMP13, EPHX1, PLAU, PRSS1, SLC6A4 and SLC22A6. The exclusive targets of St were revealed to be CYP17A1, CYP51A1, CYP26A1, CYP26B1, KIF11, BCL2L2, TP53, BCL2A1, SCD, UGT2B7, G6PD, AMPD2, TERT, PLA2G4A, HSD17B3, AMPD3, CPT2, FAAH, AMPD1, UBA2, POLB, SAE1, AKR1B10, PLA2G1B, CPT1B, HCAR2, GPBAR1, PTGFR, EDNRB, CCKBR, GABBR1, FABP2, FABP4, FABP1, GABRB2, GABRG2, GABRA2, TOP2A, TOP1, PRKCH, FLT1, GSK3A, FGFR1, NPC1L1, CD81, MDM2, THRA, AR, ESR2, THRB, PPARD, RARA, NR1H4, PPARA, RARG, VDR, IMPDH2, CDC25C, PTPN6, ACP1, PREP, CTSA, EPHX2, ECE1, SERPINA6 and SHBG. The exclusive targets of Su were found to be HSPA8, LGALS9, LGALS8, LGALS4, HSPA5, PDCD4, HEXA, AHCY, PYGL, TREH, HEXB,, HK2, PYGB, PYGM, OGA, FUCA1, HK1, AMD1, ADK, HPRT1, DAO, PNP, HPSE, AKR1C2, CDA, PIN1, JMJD1C, KDM4E, ADORA1, ADORA2A, ADORA2B, GAA, AMY2A, ADA, TRPV1, CDK9, CCNA2, CCNT1, CCNB1, CDK4, CDK1, EGFR, GRK1, LCK, FYN, MAPK1, CCND1, CCNA1, SLC5A2, GAPDH, TYR, KMO, PTPRB, PTPN11, FOLH1, CASP2, NAALAD2, ADAM17, CASP8, GGH, FGF1, VEGFA, FGF2, DTYMK and TK1.

The affinity of Ac to its targets ranged from 4364.28 µM to 83111.14 µM, of which the high affinity targets were PADI2 (4364 µM), KAT2B (8305.64 µM), and KDM5C (9032.40 µM) (Figure 3). However, none of these potential targets had a significant C/A ratio (≤ 0.026). Our analysis revealed As to have 58 potential targets with a significant C/A ratio (≥ 1.9), of which the following 8 targets had an alarming C/A ratio ≥ 20; ROCK2, ACE, ITGA5, PIM2, KDM5C, PIM1, SLC1A2, SETD2. The highest affinity recorded was for ROCK2 (0.1806 µM) which had a C/A ratio of 838.577 for the high dose value (Figure 3). The affinity of Sa to its targets ranged from 3361.6 µM to 69202.9 µM, of which the highest C/A ratio was determined to be 0.004 and all its targets were therefore deemed insignificant as it is unlikely to achieve concentrations sufficient to activate these targets (Figure 3). The affinity of St to its targets ranged from 52.5 µM to 8910.5 µM, of which the high affinity targets were GSK3B (52.5 µM), ACE (52.7 µM), PRKCH (54.6 µM) (Figure 3). However, none of these potential targets had a significant C/A ratio (≤ 0.299). Su was found to have 5 potential targets with a significant C/A ratio (≥ 1.9); CDK4, CDK9, SLC5A2, CDK1, EGFR (Figure 3). CDK4 had the highest affinity (0.60 µM) and a C/A ratio of 24.999 at the high dose value.

fig 3

Figure 3: Concentration/Affinity (C/A) Ratio of the 5 artificial sweeteners (ASwt) to their respective predicted targets. The heat maps represent the C/A Ratio of the ASwt against all of its identified targets from the SwissTargetPrediction database, at each trichotomized dosage value (low, medium, high) (Scale: Red to Green = High to Low C/A ratio values).

To assess the organ specific impact of ASwt, we examined an organ specific expression pattern of the high affinity targets with a focus on the significant targets of As (58) and Su (5), whilst the targets of Ac, Sa, St were excluded from this part of the study based on the low C/A ratio (Figure 4). In the human Protein Atlas database, we identified 56 different organ types expressing targets of As and Su. The expression of the targets was classified as either high (green), medium (red), or low/none (blank) (Figure 4). We further defined these targets as highly significant if the target was highly expressed in > 15 organs, and the resultant highly significant targets identified were as follows: CAPN1 (30), LTA4H (16), MKNK2 (25), ITGA2 (17), HDAC1 (19), CDK9 (25). Of these targets CAPN1, LTA4H, MKNK2, ITGA2, HDAC1 are targets of As, and CDK9 is the only one that’s a target of Su. To define which organs were most likely to be pharmacodynamically affected, we focused on the organs that highly expressed the high affinity targets we had initially defined as significant (C/A ≥ 1.9). Forty-four organs were identified to express high affinity targets of As and Su (Figure 4). If a tissue highly expressed the target ≥ 10 times, we defined it as pharmacodynamically significant, and the organs we discovered to fit these criteria were colon, duodenum, kidney, placenta, rectum, small intestine, stomach, testis, cerebral cortex, cerebellum, bone marrow, appendix and tonsil. The expression of various high affinity targets of As and Su in various organs is also summarised in the bottom panel of figure 4. While 30 tissues had high expression for high affinity targets of both As and Su, and 14 tissues exclusively expressed high affinity targets of As (Venn diagram Figure 4). The organ systems which can be preferentially targeted by ASwt were endocrine, respiratory, renal, reproductive, central nervous, digestive, and musculoskeletal systems.

fig 4

Figure 4: Organ specific expression analysis of significant artificial sweeteners’ (ASwt) targets. The upper graph shows the significant ASwt targets being graphed against different tissues. (Red = High Expression, Green = Medium Expression, Blank = Low/No Expression). The bottom graph summarises the organs highly expressing the significant targets of aspartame (blue) and sucralose (green), showing the different organs and the high affinity targets. (Blue = Aspartame Targets, Green = Sucralose Targets). The Venn diagram compares the organs expressing high affinity targets between aspartame (light blue) and sucralose (Yellow).

Discussion

This in silico study is the first of its kind which investigated the potential interactions between five common artificial sweeteners (ASwt) and various biological targets. Our findings shed light on potential mechanisms by which ASwt may exert pharmacodynamic effects in humans. The network pharmacology approach has revealed several potential mechanistic insights that may explain currently observed associations between ASwt consumption and the development of various clinical conditions including cardiovascular disease, lipid disorders, endocrine disorders, type 2 diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease, and cancer. This wide range of disease risks associated with ASwt consumption are consistent with the diverse organ systems (endocrine, respiratory, renal, reproductive, central nervous, digestive, and musculoskeletal systems) targeted with high affinity by ASwt. Our study also highlights the dissimilarity between different ASwt examined in this study regarding their safety and pharmacodynamic effects, which in our view should influence safe consumption practises. Specifically, As and Su were identified to be least safe ASwt, based on their target profile and associated C/A ratios. While Sa was identified to be most safe ASwt followed by Ac and St based on their target profile and associated C/A ratios.

The famous quote by Paracelsus “only the dose makes a thing a poison” [35] becomes very relevant to specifying safe consumption levels of ASwt. This principle is the foundation of safety, recognizing that any substance, even water or oxygen, can be harmful at high enough concentrations. While regulatory bodies have established safe intake levels for each ASwt, our findings suggest potential reasons for re-evaluation, particularly for As and Su. Our analysis revealed that As and Su will interact with cellular targets at achievable doses, raising concerns about potential health consequences. This is especially relevant considering the high C/A ratios observed for some of its targets. Therefore, it is crucial to emphasize the importance of adhering to recommended intake levels and to consider the potential cumulative effects when consuming ASwt products. Long-term studies are necessary to definitively determine the safety of chronic ASwt consumption at these recommended doses. Nevertheless, based on our observations in this study, we suggest limiting daily intake levels of As and Su under 400 mg/day and 100 mg/day respectively or alternatively considering using Sa, Ac and St with daily intake limited to 150 mg/day, 400 mg/day and 80 mg/day respectively. These revised daily intake suggestions should be considered while designing long-term randomised clinical trials. A considerable structural difference is also evident between different ASwt. Ac is a sulfamate ester that is 1,2,3-oxathiazin-4(3H)-one 2,2-dioxide substituted by a methyl group at position 6 [36]. As is the methyl ester of the aspartic acid and phenylalanine dipeptide. Sa is a 1,2 benzisothiazole with a keto group at position 3 and two oxo substituents at position 1. St is the basic backbone of steviol glycosides such as stevioside, rebaudioside A which are extracted from the stevia plant, it is a diterpene compound that consists of a tetracyclic diterpene structure featuring a lactone ring, with a hydroxyl group located at position 13. Su is a disaccharide derivative composed of 1,6-dichloro-1,6 dideoxyfructose and 4-chloro-4-deoxygalactose, produced by the chlorination of sucrose which results in three chlorine atoms replacing three hydroxyl groups, thereby preventing it from being broken down. These structural differences may account for the considerable variations in their targets/ target groups observed in this study. The comparative analysis of the various functional groups of the targets impacted by ASwt allows us to assess how the most used combinations of ASwt can influence systemic physiology. The most used combinations of ASwt in artificially sweetened beverages are as follows; Ac and As (Coke Zero, 7up Zero), As and Sa (Fountain Diet Coke) [37], Ac and Su (Red Bull Sugar Free). The Ac and As combination binds with 13/28 functional groups (Cytosolic Protein, Electrochemical Transporter, Enzyme, Eraser, Family A GPCR, Hydrolase, Kinase, Lyase, Membrane Receptor, Oxidoreductase, Protease, Surface Antigen and Writer). The As and Sa combination binds with 15/28 functional groups (Cytosolic Protein, Electrochemical Transporter, Enzyme, Eraser, Family A GPCR, Ion Channel, Kinase, Lyase, Membrane Receptor, Nuclear Receptor, Oxidoreductase, Protease, Surface Antigen, Transporter, and Writer). The Ac and Su combination binds with 14/28 functional groups (Cytosolic Protein, Enzyme, Eraser, Family A GPCR, Hydrolase, Ion Channel, Kinase, Lyase, Membrane Receptor, Oxidoreductase, Phosphatase, Protease, Secreted Protein and Transferase). In our opinion considering the potential synergistic effects associated with use of ASwt in combinations, this should be avoided as it is likely to potentiate adverse effects.

A recent prospective cohort study revealed a positive association between ASwt consumption and atrial fibrillation (AF) rates, [27] our study revealed potential mechanisms that may explain this association. We found that the targets of the ASwt we studied included several important proteins that have been found to be implicated in AF; KCNA5, KCNH2, TRPV4, BCL2, GSK3B. Although none of these targets were significant (C/A ratio ≤ 1.9), the chronic consumption of ASwt can lead to its accumulation in tissues niches, eventually raising to concentrations sufficient to activate these targets responsible for inducing AF. Also, the following high affinity targets of ASwt, CAPN1, LTA4H, MKNK2, ITGA2 and HDAC1 can indirectly regulate factors which can predispose to AF. These findings merit further studies, particularly ones that involve taking a chrono-pharmacological approach,28 to assess rates of AF events in relation to chronic ASwt consumption. We have previously examined chrono-pharmacology of other chronically used therapeutic and have demonstrated the association of periodic tissue accumulation and clinical presentation of adverse events [38]. Such a chrono-pharmacological profile, merit following a dosing approach that allows for a washout phase to clear the active drug from the system to prevent adverse events occurring, consequence to the drug accumulating and building in tissue specific niche. Hence, based on this prior chrono-pharmacology knowledge we propose all chronic users of ASwt to allow for a few weeks (ideally 1-2 weeks) of washout phase every 6 months or alternatively to try a rotational use approach between Sa, Ac and St, with each ASwt being used for a few weeks sequentially.

The link between ASwt and cancer risk remains a subject of ongoing investigations. While some major regulatory bodies have deemed no convincing evidence for a direct cause-and-effect relationship, some studies suggest a possibility of associations between ASwt consumption and increased risk of developing cancer although without much insights into the mechanisms responsible [13,15]. Our study addresses this gap in the literature by potentially identifying several ASwt targets, such as MCL1, ROCK2, BCL2L1, BCL2, MDM2, TP53, CDK proteins, HDAC1, ITGA2 and caspases which are widely reported to be associated with cancer development and/or progression [39]. Incidentally high affinity targets of ASwt were highly expressed in endocrine systems, which again may highlight the increased risk of developing cancer. These ASwt targets are widely reported to influence a variety of oncogenes, tumour suppressor genes, extracellular matrix, apoptosis regulation proteins, and cell cycle regulating proteins. ASwt consumption has been specifically linked to increased risk of developing pancreatic cancer [40] whilst other studies have found pancreatic adenocarcinoma development to involve ROCK2 pathways [41] which we found to be a significant target of As, possibly underlining a mechanism through which As can lead to the development of pancreatic cancer. However, the potential interaction of ASwt, particularly As, with cellular targets identified in this study warrants further exploration to understand if these interactions could play a role in cancer development or progression. Long-term, well-designed epidemiological studies are crucial to definitively assess the potential association between chronic ASwt consumption and cancer incidence. In the meantime, adhering to the revised intake levels suggested in this study will be prudent. A preclinical study has shown negative effects of ASwt on sperm quality. Studies on mice exposed to high doses of As observed reduced sperm parameters like motility, viability, and normal morphology. Additionally, these studies reported DNA fragmentation and decreased sex hormone binding globulin (SHBG) and testosterone levels [29,30]. It’s important to note that these were animal studies with high doses, and it’s unclear if similar effects translate to humans at recommended intake levels. However, the findings raise concerns and warrant further investigation. While some studies have suggested a potential link between ASwt consumption and reduced fertility, particularly in women undergoing IVF (In Vitro Fertilization). Studies [42,43] have shown that high intake of regular or diet soft drinks, containing ASwt, may be associated with decreased egg quality, embryo quality, and reduced implantation and pregnancy rates. The potential antifertility mechanisms could involve altered gut microbiome, disruption of hormonal pathways or directly targeting reproductive organs, all of which are crucial for sperm production and optimal functioning of gonads. In addition, this study highlights the potential role of SHBG in infertility associated with chronic consumption of ASwt, as SHBG was identified as a high affinity target of Su and both testis and ovary were observed to be pharmacodynamically significant tissue as these organs highly expressed significant targets ≥ 10 times of ASwt. The potential link between ASwt and cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a topic of growing interest, with our findings adding a layer of complexity to this topic. While regulatory bodies generally consider ASwt safe at recommended intake levels, some observational studies suggest an association between high ASwt consumption and an increased risk of CVD. Study [5,8] did reveal potential interactions between ASwt, particularly As and Su, with cellular targets (CAPN1, LTA4H, MKNK2, ITGA2, and HDAC1) involved in various physiological processes. Notably, some of these targets are linked to functions relevant to CVD development. For instance, the high C/A ratios observed for As with targets like ACE (Angiotensin Converting Enzyme) suggest a potential for influencing blood pressure regulation. Additionally, interactions with targets related to inflammation and cell death could also be relevant to CVD pathogenesis. The associations between ASwt and cardiovascular diseases may also be mechanistically explained by interactions with several targets, particularly: ACE, REN, AGTR1, HMGCR and NPC1L1. Influence of ASwt consumption on Hypertension [6,9,38] can be explained by ASwt interactions with ACE, REN, AGTR1. Increased cholesterol uptake is a predisposing factor for many cardiovascular diseases, and this may be accounted for by interactions with HMGCR, and NPC1L1. Increased cholesterol uptake is associated with coronary artery disease, increased myocardial infarction risk, stroke, and atherosclerosis. The prevalence of these diseases has been correlated with consumption of ASwt. Future research [44-46] should focus on randomised clinical trials with long-term follow-up to definitively determine if chronic ASwt consumption at recommended doses causally increases the risk of cardiovascular disease.This study revealed potential interactions between ASwt, particularly As and Su, with various cellular targets at achievable doses. These interactions raise concerns about potential adverse health effects, especially in the gastrointestinal tract and closely associated organs, where some targets linked to inflammation (LTA4H) [47] and cell death (CAPN1) [48] were highly expressed. Furthermore, the high C/A ratios observed for some As and Su targets and their organ specific expression patterns suggest a possible increased risk of functional modulation in not only gastrointestinal tract but also endocrine, respiratory, renal, reproductive, central nervous, and musculoskeletal systems. We also observed colon to be a pharmacodynamically significant tissue impacted by ASwt, which may possibly explain observations regarding ASwt consumption and impacts on the gut micriobiota [49]. ASwt interactions with the kidneys, which we also discovered to be a pharmacodynamically significant tissue, may explain associations with nephrotoxicity [50] and chronic kidney disease. Despite some interesting insights [16] into the pharmacodynamic effects of ASwt highlighted in this study, it does have some limitations. This study exclusively relied on in silico analysis, and hence in vivo trials are essential to validate these findings. Additionally, the long-term consequences of ASwt exposure require dedicated chrono-pharmacology focused research to establish a definitive link between consumption and potential health risks. In conclusion, ASwt are widely used as sugar substitutes, but their impact on health remains a topic of concern. While considered generally safe at recommended doses by regulatory bodies, our findings suggest a need to exercise caution. Our study highlights the potential for ASwt to interact with various biological targets and induce adverse effects, particularly As and Su. The high C/A ratios of some As and Su targets and the tissue-specific expression patterns suggest potential safety concerns that require further investigation under long-term randomised settings.

Acknowledgements

Research support from University College Dublin-Seed funding/Output Based Research Support Scheme (R19862, 2019), Royal Society-UK (IES\R2\181067, 2018) and Stemcology (STGY2917, 2022) is acknowledged.

Declaration of Interest Statement

None

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Review of Selected Over-the-Counter Toothpastes in the Management of Dentine Hypersensitivity

DOI: 10.31038/JDMR.2024713

Abstract

Desensitising products designed for use in the treatment of Dentine Hypersensitivity (DH) are available either through in-office procedures (professional products) or direct to the consumer (over the counter products [OTC]). This paper is an overview on selected OTC products available to the consumer and compares the reported effectiveness of the different active ingredients present in these products. Information was collected from several sources including direct observation of the toothpastes available in a UK supermarket and from online retailers (such as Amazon etc.,) as well as reviewing the published evidence from randomised control trials, systematic reviews, and meta-analyses as well as clinical studies. A comparison of the claims of effectiveness in reducing Dentine Hypersensitivity by toothpaste manufacturers on the toothpaste cartons (e.g., packaging and labelling) was compared with the results from these peer reviewed publications. Evidence from these publications would suggest that products containing potassium, stannous fluoride, calcium sodium phosphor-silicate, arginine, nano-hydroxyapatite, and fluoro-calcium-phospho-silicate ingredients have sufficient evidence to support their effectiveness in managing DH. There is, however, contradicting information on the effectiveness of potassium containing products in the published literature.

Introduction

Dentine Hypersensitivity (DH) is a somewhat puzzling clinical condition which may impact on the Quality of Life (QoL) of those who suffer from the problem [1,2]. The pain associated with DH has been described as ‘rapid in onset, sharp in character and transient in nature’, and will resolve once the offending stimulus has been removed [23]. The prevalence of DH varies depending on how data is collected, for example, questionnaire values range from 4% to 74% whereas clinical studies would suggest lower values in the region of 11.5% [3]. These higher values may suggest that self-reporting of DH may be exaggerated compared to clinical results as well as variations in the different populations that were assessed. From an epidemiological perspective, there was a slightly higher prevalence in females than in males which was not statistically significant. Evidence from clinical evaluation would suggest, in the main, a lower prevalence value compared to the self- reported values by participants which may be due in part to the participants being unable to distinguish the various conditions associated with dental pain (e.g., toothache etc.).The underlying mechanism of DH is hydrodynamic in nature and based on the Hydrodynamic Theory where minute fluid shifts in the dentinal tubules initiates a pain response [4]. Currently most treatment approaches are based on this theory and as such most desensitising products (In-office professionally applied and/or over the counter (OTC)) are based on their tubular occluding properties [5]. The choice of recommending a product will depend on a clinician’s clinical judgement on the extent and severity of the clinical problem. The treatment of DH, however, is based on a correct diagnosis of the problem and by excluding all other possible causes of the individual’s discomfort (essentially DH is a diagnosis of exclusion), the choice of product or technique based on the extent and severity of the condition, patient compliance, and successful monitoring/ management of the problem over time. The aim of this short overview is therefore to evaluate the claims of effectiveness of selected over the counter desensitising products (packaging claims) and compare these claims with evidence from the available published literature.

Methodology

A study was conducted by one of the authors (HS) to identify a range of home or consumer (over the counter) desensitising toothpaste products for the treatment of DH in a local supermarket store in the UKas well as online retail websites (e.g., Amazon). Information relating to the ingredients of the various selected toothpastes together with the claims made on the cartons (packaging/labelling) which subsequently included data from the internet (manufacturers’ websites). A comparison was made on the various claims made by the manufacturers on their products with the available evidence from peer reviewed journals. This information was subsequently collated into tables as shown below (Tables 1 and 2). From the various desensitising products identified in the initial survey it was decided to concentrate on four selected products based a specific active ingredient namely: 1) Fluoro-Calcium-Phospho-Silicate (FCPS)(BioMin-F), 2) Stannous fluoride (Sensodyne Rapid Relief), 3) Arginine (Colgate Sensitive Instant Relief) and 4) Nano-hydroxyapatite (Curaprox Be you). A Potassium containing product with without other active ingredients (e.g., stannous fluoride or hydroxyapatite) together with a Calcium Sodium Phospho-silicate (CSP) product (e.g. Novamin based) was included when. discussing the results (Table 2).

Table 1: Selected over the counter desensitising toothpaste products available in the UK consumer market with their listed ingredients and their packaging claims.

tab 1

Products on the Market

The following selected products were identified in an initial survey (Table 1):

The following table (Table 2) highlights the purpose/aim and mechanism of action for each toothpaste and their main ingredient(s) together with the supporting evidence from the published literature.

Table 2: The purpose/aim and mechanism of action for each toothpaste and their main ingredient(s)

tab 2

Discussion

According to Vranić et al. [6] the main components of a toothpaste are abrasives, humectants, surfactants, binders, and flavouring agent together with any active ingredients. The formulation of toothpaste products is a complex procedure, and it is essential to ensure that any of the other ingredients within the formulation do not impact with the delivery of the active ingredient. According to Rathore and Gillam [7] most manufacturers, make claims under the Cosmetic regulations rather than making a direct clinical claim such as ‘prevents gingivitis’ etc., which would require clinical evidence from well-conducted randomised clinical trials (RCT) to claim clinical efficacy [8]. For this selected overview on over the counter (OTC) desensitising products, examples of the various active ingredients (initially identified from the consumer brands in a UK supermarket and online retail websites), together with their respective claims of effectiveness were assessed from the available published literature (which included evidence from systematic, reviews, meta-analysis, reviews [including Cochrane Reviews] and clinical studies).

One of the problems in evaluating the evidence for these studies was 1) the lack of homogeneity between the studies particularly with view to the length of duration and assessment methodology of the selected studies for example reviews based a Cochrane type of review would only include studies of a minimum of six weeks duration as well as including similar ingredients in both control and test groups [9-11], 2) the likelihood that some of the active ingredients within the formulation may have changed over the decades and 3) the problems of the highly subjective nature when reporting Dentine Hypersensitivity.

Based on the evidence from the published literature it can be concluded that the active ingredients outlined in Tables 1 and 2 have been shown to be effective in reducing DH [12-16]. However, there is clearly a need to have well controlled clinical studies on a duration that is relevant to the claims being made. For example, if a short acting or immediate (rapid) effect is claimed than the time intervals in the study should reflect this (e.g., retesting within 5-10 minutes following application). Alternatively, if a long-lasting effect is claimed than the time intervals should reflect this (e.g., 3-6 months), furthermore if claims of protection against ‘acid erosion’ are made than evidence from in vitro or in situ studies should support this. It should be acknowledged, however that some toothpaste formulations may take longer to be effective in reducing DH. From a clinical perspective it may be reasonable for the clinician and patient to accept that the discomfort from DH may not be eliminated but there is some relief that enables them to enjoy a better Quality of Life (QoL). According to Rathore & Gillam [7] one of the advantages of publishing these claims on the packaging is that this may enable the consumer to identify an OTC product that is relevant to their specific needs such as a recommended toothpaste for ‘sensitivity’ with a degree of confidence that the product may actually help them in resolving their problem [17-32].

Conclusion

There appears that the conclusions from the published literature acknowledge the effectiveness of selected OTC desensitising toothpaste products e.g., potassium, stannous fluoride, calcium sodium phosphosilicate (CSP) and arginine have sufficient supporting evidence to justify their claims. Evidence to support the use of nano- hydroxyapatite (nano-HA) and Fluoro-Calcium-Phospho-Silicate (FCPS) is growing and some studies have shown that they have a similar or improved effect on reducing DH than the other ingredients. There is, however, contradictory evidence regarding the effectiveness of the potassium ion in potassium-based toothpastes.

Disclaimer

One of the Authors (DG) has several patents on oral care products and currently is a Director with Biomin Technology Limited, UK. There was, however, no commercial involvement in preparing and writing up the research undertaken in this study.

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A Comparison Study: Frequency and Duration of Two BLS Courses to Determine CPR Skill Retention and Competence

DOI: 10.31038/IJNM.2024524

Significance of Problem

Cardiac arrests present a significant global health problem and are the leading cause of death annually [1]. Healthcare workers as well as laypersons must be trained effectively in cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) to learn and retain skills over time. CPR skill retention is vitally important on successful resuscitation outcomes. CPR skill retention has been shown to significantly decline over time. Overall, the quality of CPR skills including accuracy of compression rate and depth, correct hand placement, and ventilation quality declines rapidly when skills are not regularly practiced and refreshed [2-6]. In one study, adults who participated in various forms of initial CPR certification classes experienced a significant performance decline in CPR skills in as little as two months following initial CPR instruction [7]. Another study found that CPR skills can begin to decline in as little as two weeks following CPR training [4]. Thus, retention of CPR skills after initial CPR training is a key determinant to the maintenance of CPR competency.

Background

Research on CPR skill retention following CPR training programs has consistently identified a relatively low retention rate. CPR certifications from both the American Heart Association (AHA) and American Red Cross are 2-year certifications, leading to concerns that many students demonstrate significantly low skill retention rates by the time their certification expires. Most research examines either the lay public or college students enrolled in a Nursing program. To improve skill retention rates, studies support the use of CPR distributed practice or refresher training to improve retention of CPR skills [5]. Distributed practice or refresher training can include: (1) short periods of monthly or quarterly practice; or (2) slightly longer refresher training every six months. To date, no studies have compared CPR skill retention in college students from two different academic programs of study who were taught using two different program formats. In addition, the type of CPR training can also impact the retention of CPR skills. The 2 main types of CPR training are initial and renewal CPR training. Normally, CPR instruction courses are often very short in duration with rushed practice time by the learners, possibly limiting the retention of knowledge and skills. Frequent, short-duration, distributed CPR training with real-time feedback has been shown to be effective in improving CPR performance [3]. The National Nursing Staff Development Organization (1989) found that CPR instruction in short, frequent exposures can help to reinforce knowledge and maintain psychomotor skills [8]. Brief but frequent practice of CPR skills on an automated feedback manikin appears to be an effective strategy in retaining high quality CPR skills and knowledge [1]. Distributed CPR practice that provides refresher training in short but frequent time segments helps to improve knowledge and CPR skill retention. The focus of this pilot study was to identify if participation in a CPR instruction course presented over a period of several weeks with repeated engagement with skill performance would demonstrate retention improvement of Adult CPR knowledge and skills in college students six months following course completion.

Methods

Students were selected from an undergraduate Nursing (NURS) and Exercise Physiology (EXPH) program at a small, private Midwestern university. This study was approved by the University’s institutional review board. Both groups initially completed course and skill work in American Heart Association (AHA) Adult Basic Life Support (BLS) CPR with an AHA-certified instructor as part of their required academic curriculum. Student groups completed Adult BLS CPR training in one of two formats. NURS students completed an in-person cognitive program of approximately 2 hours in length, followed by a 2-hour skill review and hands-on skill assessment with an AHA certified instructor. In the NURS group, the entire course and subsequent Adult BLS certification was completed in approximately 4 hours. EXPH students completed a 15-wk semester course entitled “Medical Emergency Management”, incorporating an AHA certified instructor-led BLS portion of the course. EXPH students completed their in-person cognitive portion of the course, repeated skill review and feedback, and skill assessment in three, 50-minute class sessions per week over a 3-week period. Therefore, the in-person cognitive portion encompassed approximately 7 total hours during their BLS CPR certification. Additionally, EXPH students were assessed on CPR (and related skills) in a written format on multiple other occasions during in-class examinations throughout the 15-week semester. Overall, EXPH students were engaged in BLS CPR cognitive and psychomotor skill work almost twice as long as NURS students. Approximately 6 months after their BLS certification, eligible students were contacted by one of the investigators and asked to participate in a follow-up study of CPR skill retention. Participants were not academically obligated to participate in the follow-up study. A total of 20 Nursing and 13 EXPH students agreed to participate in the study. Participants were not given advance notice of the study or formal skill practice after initial certification (unless this occurred outside of the university). This ensured that all participants were evaluated under the same conditions and with the same equipment. Participants had the skill of Adult CPR re-evaluated on a Prestan® feedback manikin 6 months after initial BLS certification. The skill did not include the use of an AED. Students were individually evaluated by their original course instructor using a checklist of 10 performance identifiers. Students received no feedback during the skill evaluations, other than what was provided by the manikin itself regarding ventilations (chest rise) and compressions (rate and depth). If the student successfully completed the skill evaluation, a “yes” was recorded. If the student failed to successfully complete the skill evaluation, a “no” was recorded. Successful completion of each performance identifier was determined by the student’s original AHA certified course instructor.

Main Outcome Measurement

Student’s successful completion (as determined by the AHA certified course instructor) of each performance identifier were evaluated. The total number of performance identifiers successfully completed (“yes” responses) were compared between Nursing (n=20) and Exercise Physiology (n=13) students.

Results

Results are expressed as mean ± standard deviation. A two-tailed t-test was used to compare the groups. Significance was set at p<0.05. The number of individual “yes” responses for each performance identifier were determined for each group. The average number of “yes” responses for the 10 performance indicators was then compared between the groups (see Chart 1). Average “yes” responses were significantly higher in the NURS group (16.5 ± 4.60) when compared to the EXPH group (9.6 ± 3.75) (Table 1).

Discussion

Nursing students displayed a statistically significant higher number of successful performance identifiers than Exercise Physiology students, suggesting that higher frequency training sessions leading up to CPR certification may not be a primary factor to college students’ retaining CPR skills. Several limitations were identified during this study. One significant limitation was the variance in clinical experience between the participant groups. Nursing students had several weeks of hands-on clinical experience in the healthcare setting. At the six-month evaluation point, nursing students had been participating in weekly clinical rotations in the hospital setting for approximately two months. This healthcare related exposure may have a positive impact on CPR skill retention. A second limitation is the use of two different evaluators. Although both evaluators used the same tool and performance identifiers, researcher bias inherently occurs when two different evaluators come from different backgrounds and viewpoints. Skill mastery involves some imperfections which might be graded differently between evaluators, especially with the pre-assessment components (e.g. check the scene, check the victim, etc).

Conclusion

Higher frequency training sessions for CPR certification may not be a primary factor to CPR skill retention over 6 months. Results of this study underscore the significant problem of rapid decline in CPR knowledge and skill retention in all learners. These findings support the incorporation of an effective and interactive initial training along with periodic CPR skill refreshers to reinforce learning and skill competence. Low dose (short duration) yet higher frequency CPR skill refreshers may help to retain critical CPR knowledge and skill retention. Additional studies examining various options of initial CPR certification courses and skill refresher activities are recommended to help identify that “sweet spot” of frequency and duration to support CPR skill competence.

References

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FIG 2

The Application of Case-Based Learning in Endodontics

DOI: 10.31038/JDMR.2024712

Abstract

Introduction: Theoretical teaching in endodontics is based on lectures delivered by qualified professionals. Recent advancements explore options such as case based learning (CBL), that allow students to apply their knowledge to real-world clinical scenarios.

Objective: To evaluate the effect of CBL on clinical problem solving in endodontics, in a cohort of dentists enrolled in an “endodontic case series” workshop.

Methodology: An Endodontics Case Series Activity (ECSA) was organized at the Aga Khan University Hospital, Karachi. The enrolled participants and attendees participated in a pre-activity assessment, through Google Form. The form consisted of 5 clinical scenario based multiple choice questions (MCQs), based on dental trauma, iatrogenic errors, regenerative endodontics and guided endodontics. The participants then attended the ECSA, where post-graduate trainees presented the management of complex endodontic cases, surrounding the same themes, which was followed by an interactive discussion. After the workshop, the same MCQs were re-attempted to assess any changes in managing the same five clinical scenarios after attending the ECSA. Additionally, nine questions regarding the perception of CBL were also included in the post-test questionnaire.

Results: Of the 28 participants, 64.3% were post-graduate trainees of Operative Dentistry and Endodontics, whereas the remaining participants were trainees from other dental specialties (10.7%) general dentists (17.9%), undergraduate dental students (7.1%). Fifty percent of the participants reported that CBL improved the implementation of key concepts, 51% responded that CBL allowed an improved treatment planning and problem-solving skills and 68.2% reported that CBL encouraged their interest in endodontics and self-learning.

Conclusion: CBL may improve the clinical problem-solving skills for students and trainees, however, large scale studies are required to further establish the true effectiveness of CBL in training and education.

Introduction

When discussing the different methods to teach endodontics, it goes without saying that there can be no single ‘best method’ [1]. Didactic lecture-based learning formats have been considered highly effective in disseminating a large quantity of information to a large number of students. However, it is a passive form of learning, which often leaves students uninterested or demotivated. This passivity may impede active engagement, critical thinking, and the application of theoretical knowledge to practical scenarios. Recognizing these disadvantages, there has been a shift towards more interactive student-centered learning approaches which include problem based learning (PBL) and Case based learning (CBL) [2-4].

CBL and PBL are both student-centered active learning methods that aim to engage students and foster deep understanding [5]. However, each method has its own distinct characteristics [6]. CBL, initially applied in medical education by the Anatomy Department of the Medical School in Newfoundland, Canada, is an interactive, instructor-led learning technique. Conversely, PBL is a student driven learning method in which students takes the lead in identifying problems, conducting research and finding solutions.In PBL no prior knowledge regarding subject is required whereas, CBL requires students to have some past knowledge that can benefit in problem solving [7]. Though both the methods connects theory to practice by applying knowledge to cases utilizing inquiry-based learning methods, but CBL stands out in its emphasis on a more structured learning environment with instructor guidance, contributing to the preparation of students for clinical practice by exposing them to real-life clinical cases [8].

In recent years, studies have proven CBL to be an effective teaching method currently used in various health disciplines such as medicine, allied health, child developments and some aspects of dentistry [9]. As depicted in literature, in a study by Bi M et al. conducted on postgraduate trainees of medical oncology, reported CBL is an efficient teaching method for improving problem-solving abilities when compared to traditional teaching method [10]. Another study by Shigli et al. conducted to evaluate the effectiveness of CBL in the field of prosthodontics, concluded CBL to be a useful method in enhancing the knowledge of dental interns [11]. Despite this positive outcome, there is a notable gap in the literature concerning the implementation of this innovative approach in the field of endodontics, particularly in our geographic region. Moreover, endodontics is inherently procedure-based, underscoring the significance of integrating clinical experience into training programs. Given this context, the aim of our study is to evaluate the perception and to compare the knowledge of participants related to endodontic clinical cases both pre and post CBL activity using a questionnaire, providing valuable insights into the potential effectiveness of CBL in the field of endodontics.

Materials and Methods

The participants of this study were post-graduate trainees of Operative Dentistry and Endodontics from several renowned institutes, along with their supervisors. However, attendees included undergraduate dental students, post-graduate dental students of all dental specialties and general dental practitioners. Ethical approval was not considered necessary for the activity. Figure 1 presents a diagrammatic representation of the process of data collection.

FIG 1

Figure 1: Diagrammatic representation of data collection illustrating CBL activity

Endodontic Case Series Activity

Post-graduate trainees of Operative Dentistry and Endodontics from various institutes were invited to present their clinical cases at the Aga Khan University Hospital, to participate in the “Endodontic Case Series Activity” (ECSA). The trainees were requested to share a pre-recorded presentation of their clinical case, with well-documented photographs and radiographs. Among the received cases, 5 cases were selected by two faculty members to include the following themes: Dental Trauma, Regenerative Endodontics, Guided Endodontics, Complex Endodontics and Iatrogenic Errors. The presenting candidates were requested to prepare a 5-minute pre-recorded video presentation of their case according to a provided template. The template included the relevant medical and dental history, presenting complaint, treatment planned, treatment provided and follow-up. After each presentation, the presenter was addressed regarding any questions and an interactive panel discussion took place, encouraging participation from the audience. The panel consisted of 2 international and 3 national specialists in the field of Operative Dentistry and Endodontics, with over ten years of clinical experience.

Questionnaire Development

To assess the responses of the participants and attendees regarding clinical problem solving in endodontics, a questionnaire was developed, with 5 multiple choice questions (MCQS) based on: Dental trauma, Endodontic treatment planning, iatrogenic errors, application of guided endodontics and regenerative endodontics. These MCQs were part of the Operative Dentistry and Endodontics MCQ bank, where each MCQ is reviewed by 7 post-graduate trainees and 3 endodontists, and an answer key is decided. However, since the questions were modified, Content Validation Index was employed (CVI) to evaluate the validity of the questions. A panel of 4 experts were tasked with reviewing the questionnaire items for relevance and clarity. These 4 experts included general dentist, consultant, biostatistician, and an epidemiologist. Each questionnaire item was assessed by the experts based on relevance and clarity and was rated on a scale of ‘1’ to ‘4’ with ‘1’ being not relevant/not clear to ‘4’ being highly relevant/very clear. A score of ‘1’ or ‘2’ rated by experts is designated as 0 while a score of ‘3’ or ‘4’ is designated as 1. An average of this score is calculated to determine the CVI. Typically, a CVI score of 0.80 or higher is considered indicative of satisfactory content validity. In our study, the combined evaluations of all four experts yielded an exceptionally high CVI score of 0.95, affirming the questionnaire’s outstanding precision and reliability in effectively capturing the required information.

Pre-Activity and Post Activity Assessment

The formulated questionnaire was distributed amongst the participants and attendees using online GoogleForm and the total scores were recorded. After the ECSA, the same questions were then distributed along with another questionnaire which assessed the perception of the ECSA in the attendees and participants, using a Likert’s scale.

Statistical Analysis

Responses from the study questionnaires were recorded using GoogleForm. The data was only shared with the three authors carrying out the study and was stored in a password protected file. Data was analyzed by using SPSS version 21. Descriptive statistics were reported, including the designation of the participants. The percentage and mean of correct responses was calculated according to each theme for both the pre-activity assessment and the post-activity assessment. To compare the mean pre-activity and post-activity scores, the paired sample’s t-test was applied. The level of significance was kept at<0.05.

Results

A total number of 28 participants were enrolled in the ECSA. Eighteen of these participants were post-graduate trainees from Operative Dentistry and Endodontics, three were residents from other specializations, five were general dentists and two were undergraduate dental students as depicted in Figure 2. The percentage of correct responses for the pre-activity assessment for dental trauma, iatrogenic errors, regenerative endodontics, surgical endodontics and guided endodontics were 20%, 86.7%, 60%, 86.7% and 60% respectively as evidenced in Table 1. The mean pre-activity score was 3.20 (1.01), whereas the post-activity score was 4.13 (0.83). A statistically significant improvement was noted in the post-activity score (p-value=0.014) as shown in Table 2. The participants feedback revealed a positive response, with a majority of the participants rating the activity as ‘4’ for improvement in treatment planning, encouraging interest, self-learning and enthusiasm, as evidenced in Figure 3.

FIG 2

Figure 2: Graphical representation of demographic data

Table 1: Participant Response on Pre-Test and Post-Test Assessment

Themes

Correct responses (Total number of participants: 28)
Pre-ECSA (%)

Post-ECSA (%)

Dental Trauma

20%

33%

Iatrogenic Errors

86.7%

100%

Regenerative Endodontics

60%

86.7%

Surgical Endodontics

86.7%

93.3%

Guided Endodontics

60%

80%

ECSA: Endodontic Case Series Activity

Table 2: Comparison of pre & post activity score

Time of Assessment (No. of participants)

Mean scores (SD)

p-value

Pre-Activity (28 participants)

3.2 (1.01)

0.014*

Post-Activity (28 participants)

4.13 (0.83)

*Paired sample t-test, p-value < 0.05.

FIG 3

Figure 3: Post activity feedback assessing participants’ perception of CBL

Discussion

It’s intriguing how, despite global efforts to embrace more learner-centered teaching approaches in medical education, seminars and lectures continue to dominate in certain regions of the world [12]. The problem with traditional teaching is that it does not promote deep learning. It mainly emphasizes rote memorization and information transmission rather than promoting critical thinking, problem-solving, and a thorough comprehension of the subject matter. On the other hand, small group discussions using CBL model has number of benefits in teaching institutes as it utilizes collaborative learning, develops students’ intrinsic and extrinsic motivation to learn, supplements existing knowledge and supports the development of variety of clinical skills.

The present study uses strategic learning CBL model and investigated its effectiveness by comparing pre-test and post-test results of the participants enrolled in endodontic case series (ECS) activity. ECS activity was a single day workshop conducted in Aga Khan University Hospital, Karachi in which 28 candidates registered for the workshop. The participants enrolled had different levels of expertise ranging from undergraduates to general dentist to postgraduate trainees. In this cohort of variety of participants, majority of them were postgraduate trainees of endodontics (64%), followed by general dentist (18%), post graduate trainees of other specialty (11%) and a smaller proportion of undergraduates (7%). This diversity in expertise level is potentially advantageous as it allows for a comprehensive exploration of how individuals at different stages of their educational or professional journey engage with and benefit from the ECS activity using CBL approach.

The workshop session included a pre-test questionnaire followed by visual-audio presentation by participants on the assigned topics and team based interactive discussion after which a post-test questionnaire assessment was carried out. The questionnaire used in this present study consists of multiple-choice questions retrieved from MCQ bank of department of ‘Operative Dentistry and Endodontics’, AKUH. These questions underwent adaptations based on our study’s specific themes. Themes around which questions were formulated include dental trauma, iatrogenic errors, regenerative, surgical, and guided endodontics. These themes were chosen as they are normally encountered in our dental practice and are a subject of dental education which includes anatomy, microbiology, pathology, radiology and pharmacology.

Furthermore, the modified questionnaire underwent validation by 4 experts of different specialty and CVI was calculated to be 0.95, proving it to be accurate. This high CVI score indicates strong agreement among these experts regarding the relevance and clarity of the questionnaire items concerning the study’s specified themes.

The type of CBL activity employed in the present study is different from those employed in previous studies. For example, a of study by Chutinan et al. was conducted on second year dental students using lengthy survey-based approach to evaluate their perception regarding case-based activity. The authors carried out a survey at three different times to gain a comprehensive feedback at each stage. However, it is possible that the repetitive assessment may have inadvertently led to participant disengagement due to its prolonged nature, which defeats the purpose of active learning methods [13]. On the contrary, the current study adopted a more focused assessment, aiming to capture specific and immediate feedback following the CBL activity. This approach aimed to quickly collect accurate observations, enabling participants to express their responses while the experience was still fresh in their minds.

Interestingly, the mean scores significantly improved after the ECSA in all the five domains. These results are in agreement with those by Shigli et al. who conducted a study on dental interns assessing their knowledge related to hyperplastic tissues in complete denture patients. The authors reported a significant improvement in the post activity assessment (p<0.001). It is noteworthy that the results of our study found a drastic improvement after the ECSA in each theme, except dental trauma management. It appears that this discrepancy might stem from differences in participant knowledge derived from textbooks, IADT guidelines, or practical experiences. Comparing how different resources were used or emphasizing specific areas of their learning process may shed light on why this specific domain did not exhibit a substantial increase post-CBL activity.

Another area highlighted in this study is the perception of participants regarding CBL using Likert scale. When responses were analyzed, majority of them acknowledged that they enjoyed CBL and it also promoted self-learning, improved implementation of key concepts and encourages interest in the field of the subject taught. These results were in agreement with those Shigli et al. who reported that CBL stimulates their study interest, promotes self-learning and facilitates solving clinical problems. The participants also perceived that CBL improved their ability to develop diagnosis & treatment planning skills, expand related knowledge and improve their confidence in solving any clinical problems. The results of the present study are consistent with those of Zhang et al who concluded that CBL is an effective method for improving students’ clinical diagnosis, reasoning, and logical thinking [14]. Interestingly, when participants were asked if ‘CBL was less beneficial than lectures’ a variable response was evident. Majority of them disagreed that CBL was less beneficial than lectures (41.3%) followed by those who neither agreed nor disagreed (34.5%) and a small proportion who agreed with this statement (24.2%). This ambiguity could be due to the diverse learning preferences and experiences among individuals [15,16]. Understanding the reasons behind these disparities is critical to increasing the effectiveness and acceptability of CBL. Exploring the factors influencing participants’ perspectives, such as prior experience to teaching methods, comfort levels with various learning approaches, and perceived strengths and shortcomings of both CBL and lectures, should shed light on this ambiguity.

Despite its novelty, certain limitations were encountered while carrying out this study. Since the study was based on a single day event, it was not possible to provide a comparison of CBL with lecture-based learning. Moreover, since this was a preliminary study, the sample size was limited, and the results should be interpreted keeping these limitations in mind. Our recommendations are that more multicenter longitudinal and randomized clinical trials should be conducted with large sample size to evaluate long term results of CBL in Endodontics.

Conclusion

Participants perceived an improvement in diagnosis, treatment planning and clinical judgement after the ECS activity. Moreover, the CBL activity significantly improved the scores of the participants. However, since this was a preliminary assessment, further research is warranted to develop a better understanding of the role of CBL in teaching endodontics.

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FIG 2

Accelerating Critical Thinking to Industrial Pace and Scale Through AI: Addressing the Global Issue of Food Sustainability

DOI: 10.31038/NRFSJ.2024714

Abstract

We present a new, systematized way to teach critical thinking, using AI (artificial intelligence) incorporated into a research tool created for a newly emerging science, Mind Genomics, that is concerned with how people respond to ideas concerning everyday experiences. Mind Genomics methodology requires the researcher to develop four questions which ‘tell a story,’ and for each question to provide four alternative answers. Previous studies showed that many users experienced difficulty creating the questions. To overcome this problem, Mind Genomics incorporates AI through the mechanism of the Idea Coach. This mechanism allows the researcher to describe the problem being addressed, and then generates 15 questions the researcher evaluates and chooses for returns with 15 questions during the course of setting up the study’s story. Idea Coach provides additional analyses on the questions returned to reveal deeper structure and stimulate critical thinking by the researcher. We demonstrate the capabilities of the process by comparing the results for ‘food sustainability’ for people who are defined to be poverty stricken, first in the United States, and then in Ghana, and finally in Egypt. The effort requires approximately 10 minutes in total and is scalable for purposes of education and practical use.

Introduction: The Importance of Critical Thinking to Solve Problems

In order to address issues facing humanity, such as sustainability, it is important to be able to think clearly about the nature of the problem, and from there proceed to solutions. The importance of critical thinking cannot be underestimated, most apparently in education [1,2], but also in other areas, such as dentistry [3], not to mentioned the very obvious importance of critical thinking in areas where there are opposing parties confronting each other with the weapons of knowledge and thinking, such as the law [4]. The very idea of dealing with the United Nations’ (UN) 24 defined Global Issues (United Nations, undated) calls into play the need to understand and then deal with the problem. Critical thinking, or its absence has been recognized as a key feature in the solution of these problems. From the UN’s perspective, their 24 issues need to be addressed continually over time, strongly suggesting that the need for critical thinking is not limited in time but needs to be engaged with through time.

In today’s world, critical thinking is recognized as important for society [5]. The key question is not the recognition of critical thinking, but rather how to encourage it in a way which itself is sustainable, in a way which is cost-effective, scalable, and productive in terms of what it generates. To the degree that one can accelerate critical thinking, and even more so to focus critical thinking on a problem, one will most likely be successful . Finally, if such critical thinking can be aided by technical aids, viz., TACT (Technical Aids to Creative Thought), there is a greater chance of success. The notion of the aforementioned approach TACT was first introduced to the senior author HRM by the late professor Anthony Oettinger of Harvard University in 1965, almost 60 years ago. This paper shows how today’s AI can become a significant contributor to TACT, and especially to critical thinking about UN based problems, this one being food sustainability [6].

The topic of food sustainability is just one of many different topics of the United Nations, but one seeing insufficient progress (UN undated). From the point of view of behavioral science, how does one communicate issues regarding food sustainability? And how does one move beyond the general topic to specific topics? It may well be that with years of experience in a topic the questions become easier, but what about the issue of individuals wanting to explore the topic but individuals without deep professional experience? Is it possible to create a system using AI which can teach in a manner best called Socratic, i.e., a system which teaches by laying out different questions that a person could ask about a topic?

The Contribution of Mind Genomics to Critical Thinking about a Problem

During the past 30 years, researchers have begun to explore the way people think about the world of the everyday. The approach has been embodied in an emerging science called Mind Genomics (REF). The foundation of Mind Genomics is the belief that we are best able to understand how people think about a topic by presenting them with combinations of ideas, and instructing these people to rate the combination of ideas on a particular rating scale, such scales as relevance to them, interest to them, perceived solvability, etc. The use of combinations of ideas is what is new, these combinations created in systematic manner by an underlying structure called an experimental design. The respondent who participates does not have to consciously think about what is important, but rather do something that is done every day, namely choose or better ‘rate’ the combinations on a scale. The analysis of the relation between what is presented and what is rated, usually through statistics (e.g., regression) ends up showing what is important.

The process has been used extensively to uncover the way people think about social problems [7], legal issues [8], etc.. The process is simple, quick and easy to do, prevents guessing, and ends up coming up with answers to problems.

The important thing here is that the researcher has to ask questions, provide answers, and then the computer program matches the answers together into small groups, vignettes, presents these to the respondent, who has to rate he group or the combination.

Of interest here is the front end of the process, namely, how to ask the right question. It is asking questions which has proved to be the stumbling block for Mind Genomics, since its founding in 1993 (REF). Again, and again researchers have request help to formulate the studies. It is no exaggeration to state that the creation of questions which tell a story has become one of the stumbling blocks to the adoption of Mind Genomics.

Early efforts to ameliorate the problem involved work sessions, where a group of experts would discuss the problem. Although one might surmise that a group of experts in a room certainly could come up with questions, the opposite was true. What emerged was irritation, frustration, and the observation that the experts attending either could not agree on a question, or in fact could even suggest one. More than a handful of opportunities to do a Mind Genomics project simply evaporated at this point, with a great deal of disappointment and anger covering what might have been professional embarrassment. All would not be lot, however, as many of the researchers who had had experienced continued to soldier on, finding the process relatively straightforward. Those who continued refused to let the perfect get in the way of the good. This experience parallels what has been previously reported, namely that people can ask good questions, but they need a ‘boost’ early on [9].

The Contribution of AI in 2023

The announcement of AI by Open AI in the early months of 2023 proved to provide the technology which would cut the Gordian knot of frustration. Rather than having people have to ‘think’ through the answer to the problem with all of the issues which would ensue, it appeared to be quite easy to write a query about a topic and have the Mind Genomics process come up with questions to address that query. It was, indeed, far more enjoyable to change the ingoing query, and watch the questions come pouring out. It would be this process, a ‘box for queries’ followed by a standardized report, which would make the development fun to do.

Figure 1 shows what confronted the researcher before the advent of AI, namely an introduction page which required the researcher to name the study, followed immediately by a dauntingly empty page, requesting the research to provide our questions which tell a story. The researcher has the option to invoke AI for help by pressing the Idea Coach button.

FIG 1

Figure 1: Panel A shows the first screen, requiring the respondent to name the study. Panel B shows the second screen, presenting the four questions to be provided by the respondent.

Results Emerging Immediately and After AI Summarization

The next set of tables shows the questions submitted through the query to Idea Coach, the immediate set of 15 questions returned within 5-15 seconds. Later on, we will see the results after AI summarization has been invoked on the different set of questions.

In the typical use of Mind Genomics, the researcher often ends up submitting the squib to Idea Coach from a minimum of one time, but more typically 3-5 times, occasionally modifying the squib, but often simply piling up different questions. These different questions, 15 per page, provide a valuable resource of understanding the topic through the question. Typically, about 2/3 of the questions are different from those obtained just before, but over repeated efforts many of the questions will repeat.

Table 1 shows the first set of 15 questions for each of three countries, as submitted to Idea Coach. Note that the squib presented to Idea Coach is only slightly different for each country, that difference being only the name of the country. The result, however, ends up being 15 quite different questions for each country, questions which appear to be appropriate for the country. It is important to emphasize here that the ‘task’ of AI is to ask questions, not to provide factual information. Thus, the issue of factual information is not relevant here The goal is to drive thinking.

Table 1: Query & Questions for United States, Ghana and Egypt. These 15 questions emerged 10-15 seconds after the query was submitted to Idea Coach.

TAB 1

It is important to note that Table 1 can be replicated as many time as the researcher wishes. The questions end up allowing the researcher to look at different aspects of the problem. The results come out immediately to the researcher, as well as being stored in a file for subsequent AI ‘summarization’ described below. At the practical level, one can imagine a student interested in a topic looking at the questions for a topic again and again, as the student changes some of the text of the query (viz, the squib shown in Figure 2, Panel B). It is worth emphasizing that the Idea Coach works in real time, so that each set of 15 questions can be re-run and presented in the span of 5-15 seconds when the AI system is ‘up and running.’ Thus, the reality ends up being a self-educating system, at least one which provides the ‘picture of the topic’ through a set of related questions, 15 questions at a time. The actual benefit of this self-pacing learning by reading questioning is yet to be quantified in empirical measures, however (Figure 3).

FIG 2

Figure 2: Panel A shows the information about Idea Coach. Panel B shows the ‘box’ where the researcher creates the query for Idea Coach, in terms of ‘shaping’ the structure and information of the question.

FIG 3

Figure 3: The first six questions out of the 15 returned by Idea Coach to answer the request shown in Figure 2, Panel B. The remaining nine questions are accessed by scrolling through the screen.

It is relevant to note that AI-generated questions are beginning to be recognized as an aid to critical thinking, so that the Idea Coach strategy can be considered as part of the forefront of what might be the 21st century TACT program, Technical Aid to Creative thought (Oettinger, 1965, personal communication). Papers such as the new thesis by Danry [10] of MIT reflect this new thinking. Half-way around the world the same approaches are being pioneering in the Muslim world [11].

Once the questions are presented, it is left to the researcher to move on to completing the set-up of the Mind Genomics study, or to further request additional sets of 15 questions. When the creation of questions is complete, the researcher is instructed to provide four answer for each question. A separate paper will deal with the nature of ‘answers’ to the questions. This paper deals only with the additional analysis of the questions generated by Idea Coach.

AI Summarization and Extensions of Sets of 15 Questions

The second part of Idea Coach occurs after the researcher has competed the selection of the four questions, as well as completing the generation or selection of the four answers for each question. This paper does not deal with the creation of answers, but the process is quite similar to the creation of questions. The researcher creates the set of four questions, perhaps even editing/polishing the questions to ensure proper understanding, and tone. Once the questions are published, the Idea Coach generates four answer to each question. The entire process of summarization, for all of the set of 15 questions, takes about 15-30 minutes. The Excel file containing the ‘Answer Book’ with all summarizations is generally available 20 minutes after the questions and answers have been selected. The Answer book is available for download at the website (www.BimiLeap.com) and is emailed to the researcher as well.

We now go into each part of the summarization. The actual summarization for each set of 15 questions is presented on one tab of the Idea Book. We have broken up the summarizations into each major section, and then present the summarization by AI for the USA, followed by for Ghana, and finally for Egypt In this way the reader can see how the initial squib, the prompt to Idea Coach, differing only in the country, ends up with radically different ideas.

Key Ideas

The output from the first prompt had produced full questions. The ‘Key Ideas’ prompt strips the question format away, to show the idea or issue underlying the question. In this way, the ‘Key Ideas prompt can be considered simply as a change in format, with no new ideas emerging. Table 2 shows these ideas. It is not clear which is better to use. To the authors, it seems to be more engaging to present the ideas in the form of a question. When presenting the same material as ideas seems to be more sterile, less engaging, and without grounding.

Table 2: Key Ideas underlying the 15 questions

TAB 2

The use both of questions and of the ideas on which these questions are based have been addressed as part of an overall study of the best ways to learn. In the authors’ own words ‘Likewise, being constructive is better than being active because being constructive means that a learner is creating new inferences and new connections that go beyond the information that is presented, whereas being active means only that old knowledge is retrieved and activated.’ [12]

Before moving on to the next section, one may rightfully ask whether a student really learns by being given questions which emerge from a topic, or whether it is simply better to let the student flounder around, come up with questions, and hopefully discover other questions, either by accident, or by listening to the other students answer the same question and gleaning from those other answers new points of view [13]. The point of view taken here is that these aids to creative thought do not provide answers to questions, but rather open up the vistas, so that the questioner, research or student, can think is new but related directions. The output are additional, newly focused questions, rather than answers which put the question to rest. Quite the opposite [14]. The question opens up to reveal many more dimensions perhaps unknown to the researcher of the student when the project was first begun. In other words, perhaps the newly surfaced questions provide more of an education than one might have imagined.

Themes

With themes Idea Coach moves toward deconstructing the ideas, to identify underlying commonalities of issues, and the specific language in the questions supporting those commonalities. With ‘Themes’ the AI begins the effort to teach in a holistic manner, moving away simply from questions to themes which weave through the questions. For the current version of Idea Coach, the effort to uncover themes is done separately for each set of 15 questions, in order to make the task manageable. In that way the researcher or the student can quickly compare the themes generated from questions invoking the United States versus questions invoking Ghana, or questions invoking Egypt. Table 3 gives a sense of how the pattern of themes differ [15]. It is also important that the organization shown in Table 3, is the one provided by the Idea Coach AI, and not suggested by the researcher. Note that for Egypt, as contrasted with the USA and Ghana, Idea Coach refrained from grouping ideas into themes, but treated each idea as its own theme.

Table 3: Themes emerging from the collection of 15 questions for each country

TAB 3

Perspectives, an Elaboration of Themes

Perspectives advances the section of themes, which had appeared in Table 4. Perspectives takes the themes, and puts judgment around these themes, in terms of positive aspects, negative aspects, and interesting aspects. Perspectives are thus elaborations of themes. In other words, perspectives ends up being an elaboration of themes, useful as a way to cement the themes into one’s understanding.

Table 4: Perspectives (an elaboration of Themes)

TAB 4(1)

TAB 4(2)

TAB 4(3)

What is Missing

As the analysis moves away from the clarification of the topic, it moves towards more creative thought. The first step is to find out what is missing, or as stated by Idea Coach, ‘Some missing aspects that can complete the understanding of the topic include: ’ It is at this point that AI moves from simple providing ideas to combining ideas, and suggesting ideas which may be missing.

It is at this stage, and as the stage of ‘innovation’ that AI reaches a new level. Rather than summarizing what has been asked, AI now searches for possible ‘holes’ and a path towards greater completeness in thinking. Perhaps it is at this level of suggesting missing ideas that the user begins to move into a more creative mode, although with AI suggesting what is missing one cannot be clear whether it is the person who is also thinking in these new directions, or whether the person is simply moving with the AI, taking in the information, and enhancing their thinking (Table 5).

Table 5: What is missing

TAB 5(1)

TAB 5(2)

Alternative Viewpoints

Alternative viewpoints involve arguing for the opposite of the question. We are not accustomed to thinking about counterarguments in the world of the everyday. Of course, we recognize counterarguments such as what occurs when people disagree. Usually, however, the disagreement is about something that people think to be very important, such as the origin of climate change or the nature of what climate change is likely to do. In such cases we routinely accept alternative viewpoints.

The Idea Coach takes alternative viewpoints and counterarguments to a deeper stage, doing so for the various issues which emerge from the questions. The embedded AI takes an issue apart and looks for the counterargument. The counterargument is not put forward as fact, but simply as a possible point of view that can be subject to empirical investigation for proof or disproof (Tables 6-9).

Table 6: Alternative viewpoint, showing negative arguments countering each point uncovered previously by Idea Coach using AI.

TAB 6(1)

TAB 6(2)

Table 7: Interested audiences.
The next AI analysis deals with the interested audiences for each topic. Rather than just listing the audience for each topic, the Idea Coach goes into the reasons why the audience would be interested, once again providing a deeper analysis into the topic, along with a sense of the stakeholders, their positions, their areas of agreement and disagreement.

TAB 7(1)

TAB 7(2)

Table 8: Opposing audiences.
Once again, in the effort to promote critical thinking, the Idea Coach provides a list of groups who would oppose the topic, and for each group explain the rationale for their opposition.

TAB 8

Table 9: Innovations.
The final table selected for the Idea Coach summarization is innovations, shown in Table 9. The table suggests new ideas emerging from the consideration of the questions and the previous summarizations. Once again the ideas are maintained with the constraints of the topic and reflect a disciplined approach to new ideas.

TAB 9(1)

TAB 9(2)

TAB 9(3)

Discussion and Conclusions

The goal of the paper has been to show what is currently available to students and researchers alike. The objective of the demonstration has been to take a simple problem, one that might be part of everyday discourse, and use that problem to create a ‘book of knowledge’ from the topic, using questions and AI elaboration of the questions.

We hear again and again about the importance of critical thinking, but we are not given specific tools to enhance critical thinking. As noted in the introduction, in the 1960’s, the late professor Anthony Gervin Oettinger of Harvard University began his work on creative thought. We might not think that programming a computer to go shopping is an example of creative thought, but in the 1960’s it was (Oettinger, xxx). Now, just about six decades later, we have the opportunity to employ a computer and AI create books that help us thinking critically about a problem. We are not talking here about giving factual answers, actual ‘stuff,’ but really coaching us how to think and how to think comprehensively about the ideas within a societal milieu, a milieu of competing ideas, of proponents and opposers who may eventually agree on solutions that address or resolve issues as thorny as food sustainability. If sixty years ago teaching a computer (the EDSAC) to go shopping was considered a TACT, a technical aid to creative thought, perhaps now co-creating a book of pointed inquiry about a topic might be considered a contribution of the same type, albeit one more attuned to today. The irony is that sixty years ago the focus was on a human programming a machine ‘to think,’ whereas today it is the case of a machine coaching a human how to think. And, of course, in keeping with the aim of this new to the world journal, the coach is relevant to thinking about any of the topics germane to the journal. This same paper could be created in an hour for any topic.

References

  1. Cojocariu VM, Butnaru CE (2014) Asking questions–Critical thinking tools. Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences 128: 22-28.
  2. Lai ER 2011. Critical thinking: A literature review. Pearson’s Research Reports 6: 40-41.
  3. Miller SA& Forrest JL (2001) Enhancing your practice through evidence-based decision making: PICO, learning how to ask good questions. Journal of Evidence Based Dental Practice 1: 136-141.
  4. Nicholar J, Hughes C & Cappa C (2010) Conceptualising, developing and accessing critical thinking in law. Teaching in Higher Education 15: 285-297.
  5. ŽivkoviĿ S 2016. A model of critical thinking as an important attribute for success in the 21st century. Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences 232: 102-108.
  6. Bossert WH, Oettinger AG 1973. The Integration of Course Content, Technology and Institutional Setting. A Three-Year Report, 31 May 1973. Project TACT, Technological Aids to Creative Thought.
  7. Moskowitz H, Kover A & Papajorgji P (eds), (2022) Applying Mind Genomics to Social Sciences. IGI Global.
  8. United Nations, Undated. “Global Issues,” accessed January 27, 2024.
  9. Rothe A, Lake BM & Gureckis TM 2018. Do people ask good questions? Computational Brain & Behavior 1: 69-89.
  10. Danry VM (2023) AI Enhanced Reasoning: Augmenting Human Critical Thinking with AI Systems (Doctoral dissertation, Massachusetts Institute of Technology).
  11. Fariqh N 2023, October. Developing Literacy and Critical Thinking with AI: What Students Say. In .Proceedings Annual International Conference on Islamic Education (AICIED) 1: 16-25.
  12. Chi MTH 2009. Active-Constructive-Interactive: A Conceptual Framework for Differentiating Learning Activities. Topics in Cognitive Science 1: 73-105. [crossref]
  13. Moskowitz HR, Wren J & Papajorgji P 2020. Mind Genomics and the Law. LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing.
  14. Niklova, N (2021) The art of asking questions: Flipping perspective. In: EDULEARN21 Proceedings Publication 2816-2825.
  15. Oettinger AG. Machine translation at Harvard 2003. In: Early Years in Machine Translation, Memoirs and Biographies of Pioneers, (ed. W.J. Hutchins), John Benjamin’s Publishing Company, Amsterdam/Philadelphia, pp. 73-86.

Understanding the Mind and Inventing the Future: The Problem of Failure to Show Up for Follow-Up Appointments with One’s Health Provider

DOI: 10.31038/ASMHS.2024813

Abstract

The paper introduces a system to deal with problems of society using SCAS, Socrates as a Service. SCAS is provided with a detailed description of a conventional problem faced by people, and in turn instructed to defined prospective mind-sets in the population who suffer with this problem. SCAS further provides information on the nature of these hypothesized mind-sets, what the mind-sets are thinking, and how the mind-sets would respond to topic-relevant slogans that would be generated to solve the problem. Finally, the paper finishes with the use of SCAS to summarize the issue, provide perspectives that people might have, and identify what next steps need to be taken, as well as innovations that should be introduced which deal with and even solve the problem. SCAS is a general approach. The paper here uses SCAS to investigate the ‘why’ patients fail to keep their doctor’s visits, and what innovations might solve the problem.

Introduction

This paper grew out of the recognition that all too often patients fail to follow the suggestions of their medical and health professionals. The topic of compliance is a large one. The focus of this paper is on the simple problem of patients not showing up at the prescribed time for their follow-up appointments. The damage which ensues can be enormous, impacting the health of the patient, the cost to the medical practice, and the disruption of a system which must accommodate the schedules of a variety of people who then must regroup and update the schedules [1].

When dealing with this problem, we are actually dealing with issues of communication interacting with motivation and habit. How does the medical establishment work with individuals to ensure that they come to scheduled appointments. The importance of this question can be easily understood when one realizes the number of reminder messages which appear on the smartphones of patients, telling them of the upcoming appointment, asking them to ‘e-check in’ and then giving them the chance to cancel and reschedule. This and other actions such as reminder phone call are the obvious effort to minimize the expensive ‘no-shows’. In recent years, the process has been automated, with AI-driven chatbots and voice interactions finding their place in the seemingly impossible to solve conundrum of getting patients to sow for their appointments [2].

The business literature recognizes the problems of ‘no-shows’. The issues underlying the no-shows are extensive, as are the suggestions for improvement. The case of medicine is particular serious for no-shows simply because one cannot necessarily move the appointment to some later time and ‘go from there.’ A person’s health is labile. Moving a scheduled appointment a month or two later, when a slot opens up, may be too late when the issue is the follow up from what can be a serious problem, and when not treated can evolve to a life-threatening one. One serious illness often comes to the fore, diabetes. The consequence of missing a follow up appoint with a doctor when the person has diabetes 2 can be severe [3-6].

The Contribution of Mind Genomics Enhanced by SCAS (Socrates as a Service)

The problem of no-shows was first brought into the world of Mind Genomics through collaboration with physicians in Chicago, IL, specifically anesthesiologist Dr. Glen Zemel. Author Moskowitz collaborated with Dr. Zemel on a variety of studies dealing with the mind of the patient in the hospital. As a practicing anesthesiologist, Zemel often recognized the issues involved in patients who fail to follow up, often even having to forego surgery on the particular scheduled date because either they ‘forgot’ (rare) or forgot to follow the requirements of avoid food for the previous 12 hours and so forth. It was these immediate issues which ended up costing the medical practice many thousands of dollars.

The problem became more acute when authors Braun and Mulvey, and later Cooper, became involved in the issue of patients who failed to follow up at specific times. These individuals suffered from a variety of metabolic disorders; the most common one being diagnosed as pre-diabetic. The failure to return at the scheduled time for a follow-up morphed from being a financial loss to a medical practice into the possibility that diabetes might develop because the pre-diabetic essentially disappeared, but presumably the condition remained with the individual.

The evolution of Mind Genomics into a much deeper use of AI opened up the questions about what SCAS might be able to contribute to an understanding of why people fail to go to follow-up appoints with their doctor after learning that they are suffering from a serious condition. Could AI provide insights, especially with the newly discovered ability to ‘prime’ AI with a detailed background of an issue, and then instruct AI to ‘flesh out’ what might be going on in the mind of a person? As we move through the topics in this paper we must keep in mind that everything presented here regarding ‘thinking’ is the result of instructing Socrates as a Service (SCAS), viz., a version of AI powered by Chat GPT 3.5 [7].

Demonstration: Priming AI to Simulate Poor Patients Living in Public Housing

The remainder of this paper presents the results of a simulation using SCAS (Socrates as a Service, a form of AI growing out of ChatGPT 3.5), and the secondary analysis, viz., AI summarization of the data generated by the SCAS simulation. The important thing to keep in mind is that there is almost no information of any substantive import presented by the user, other than the initial framing of the situation, and what the user wants to ‘discover’ by having AI simulate the answers in place of having a human being do so.

The process begins with the orientation provided to AI, shown in Table 1. The table divides into three sections.

Table 1: The input to Socrates as a Service (SCAS)

tab 1

Section 1 – Input Information to SCAS

Here, the user creates a general picture of the situation. The input positions the user as a person working in a clinic in a poor area in Brooklyn. One might this simulation with a variety of different so-called general pictures, such as stating that the area is inhabited by upper middle classes, that the person works in a concierge medical service, that the location is somewhere else. With that flexibility the user would be well on the way to parametrically exploring the different alternatives. The opportunities are endless.

Section 2 – Understanding the Mind-sets

Here the user presents SCAS with a minimum amount of information, sufficient however to allow SCAS to create mind-sets. The user does not define the concept of mind-set, nor does the user give any hint about what properties are possessed by the three mind-sets. Given only this minimal amount of information, really only one piece of information, that there are three mind-sets, the system requests AI to create names, and inner thoughts of these three mind-sets.

Section 3 – Request that SCAS Produce 12 Message and Estimate the Performance of Each Message among the Three Mind-sets

The final request generated the desired 12 messages to be evaluated by three mind-sets. It is important to emphasize that nowhere in the instructions is any information presented to SCAS program that could be considered to be a subject-relevant prompt. All of the information generated by SCAS comes from the way SCAS processes the request.

Table 2 present the first part of the output, viz., the three mind-sets, explicated in terms of what each mind-set thinks at the time of making the appointment, and then a week before the appointment. The remarkable thing emerging from Table 2 is the realistic nature of the mind-sets and their thoughts. Once could easily think that these are verbatim quotes emerging from a discussion with the patient about the issue of making and keeping medical appointments.

Table 2: The description of the three mind-sets emerging from SCAS. As noted in the text, SCAS was not given any specific material on mind-sets which to base what it returned to the user.

tab 2

Table 3 shows how each of the three mind-sets would estimate the likelihood of showing up for the follow up medical appointment if the mind-set were to be reminded through the slogan. The slogans were created by SCAS. SCAS ‘predicts’ that all 12 would be effective for Mind-Set 1 (proactive), effective for Mind-Set 3 (Anxious), but not particularly effective for Mind-Set (Carefree). Once again it should be noted that these results make sense. We expected a mind-set named Carefree not to care about any of the messages, and thus not pay attention to follow up messages with the slogans shown in Table 3.

Table 3: Estimated likelihood of showing up for the follow-up appointment, for each of 12 slogans by each of the three mind-groups. Everything was generated by SCAS, using only the input to SCAS shown in Figure 1.

tab 3

Inventing the Future Using Today’s Topics

The second part of this paper focuses on the use of SCAS to understand what to do in order to improve the compliance of patients regarding their requested follow up visit. The original use of SCAS was to allow the user to type a ‘squib’ or information about a topic and have SCAS return with a set of 15 questions. The same feature was available for SCAS to return 15 answer to a given question. These feature remain in SCAS, and led to an effort to compare the answers to the same questions when SCAS was told that the answers had to be appropriate for the 21st century (now), and then that the answers had to be appropriate for the 22nd century (75 years hence).

The same set of 15 questions was used to compare the answers for the two centuries. The SCAS was primed to provide four separate answers to each of the 15 questions, requiring the answers to be appropriate for the 21st century (Table 4, answers A-D), and then be appropriate for the 22nd century (Tabe 4, answers E-H, italicized). Table 4 suggest that the answers for the 22nd century seem reasonable, and to be extensions of current day technology.

Table 4: Fifteen SCAS-generated topic-related questions about office visits to the medical professional. Each question shows four SCAS-generated questions assuming a year in the 21st century, and then a year in the 22nd century.

tab 4(1)

tab 4(2)

tab 4(3)

Summarization of Information Proposed – Broad Overviews Produced by SCAS

When the Mind Genomics study has been closed, SCAS creates a set of summarizations for each iteration, doing the summarizations separately. These summarizations are returned to the user in an email, usually within a half hour after the close of the study. Thus, in the not-unusual case of the user doing 10-15 iterations with different squibs, e.g., exploring different time periods with the same instructions, the user will receive one page for each effort, all of the pages becomes tabs in the one Excel workbook.

Table 5 shows one set of summarization, aptly summarized ‘Ideas’. The three summarization are key ideas, themes, and then perspectives.

Table 5: Summarization of the output from SCAS in terms of key ideas, themes emerging from the key ideas, and then a discussion of the positives and negatives of each theme.

tab 5

Key ideas simply highlights what the term suggests, namely what are the ideas presented to the user. This study generates a great number of key ideas because input to the studies comprises the basic questions and the answers pertaining only to the 21st Century both shown in Table 4.

Themes further summarize the key ideas, this time using SCAS to group together the related group of key ideas, perspectives, in turn, take these themes and provide the basis for ongoing discussion and learning, showing two alternative points of view for each theme.

The ’Human Reaction’ to These Ideas, as Envisioned by SCAS

As part of the summarization, SCAS returns with three different analyses of the sets of ideas. The analyses look at populations of people, whether these populations be defined by who they are (for both interested and opposing audiences), or by the way they think (alternative viewpoints). Table 6 shows the various groups and their reactions to the ideas uncovered by SCAS. It is important to keep in mind that these reactions are to the general ideas, not to any specific idea.

Table 6: The ‘human’ reaction to these ideas as envision by SCAS

tab 6

The final analysis deals with SCAS as an inventor. Table 7 shows two sections. The first section lists questions about what may be missing. These are typically questions which ask: How do we… ? The second section lists possible innovations, based upon the information processed by SCAS. The list of possible innovations is organized by topic.

Table 7: Using SCAS to suggest new products and services

tab 7(1)

tab 7(2)

Discussion and Conclusions

This paper emerged from recurring discussions about the real problem of ‘no shows’ in the world of medicine. The problem is a vexing one, perhaps growing because of the increasing difficulties encountered in the practice of medicine. One problem is the growing lack of affordability of medical treatments, the cost perhaps acting as a mechanism to discourage visits because of the fear of incurring expenses that are unaffordable to the patient. A second problem is the reality that doctors no longer make house calls. The patient must go to the doctor, a trip which might be difficult to schedule in view of the competing demands on the patient’s time. The third is the loss of the personal relationship between patient and doctor as the small, perhaps long-time practices are incorporated into the large medical practices. What was a personal relationship between patient and doctor (or other medical professional) now becomes a short interaction, often with the doctor’s assistant taking the necessary measurements, and the doctor meeting the patient for a few minutes debrief [8].

The importance of this paper is not in the solution in provides, but rather in the way SCAS can help focus the problem, providing a source of ideas. The speed (minutes), the extensive results in terms of the ‘human element’, and the presentation of the results in an easy-to-understand format, all suggest that those in the medical profession might avail themselves of SCAS as they enter a new subject area, if only to understand some of the issues from the part of the patient, the doctor, and the system. Scattered publication suggested only the positive, the ‘up-side’, and not the down-side of using AI and such offshoots as SCAS to solve the problem of no-shows [9].

A second aspect of the approach presented here comes from the potential of instructing SCAS to ‘imagine’ what will happen in the years to come, or even to imagine what things were like a century ago or even longer. By simply asking SCAS to assume that all the topics are to be asked from the framework of the year 2200, almost 75 years into the future, it is possible to jump-start futuristic thinking. There is no reason to assume that the answers will be ‘correct.’ On the other hand, to SCAS there is no penalty for being ‘wrong’, so that SCAS dutifully produces its best guess, once it has been properly instructed. It is that potential to focus on the future in terms of concrete questions and suggestions which make the approach attractive, especially in light of the simplicity of executing just another ‘iteration,’ albeit this time priming SCAS to guess about the future or guess about the past [10,11].

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